**In the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding, the race for the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election remains closely contested between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Alexandre Leduc and Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin.** Leduc, reelected in 2022 with over 50% support on the redistributed map, benefits from established name recognition and QS strength in left-leaning Montreal districts. Brossard-Sabourin, a local resident since 2010 and executive with the Chantier de l’économie sociale, brings fresh PQ momentum focused on social justice, community ties, and economic democracy issues resonant in the riding. Projections from 338Canada and Qc125 as of early September show the two parties nearly tied in projected vote share (QS 33-36%, PQ 33-34%), with minimal backing for Liberal, CAQ, and Conservative candidates. This two-way dynamic, combined with the broader provincial picture of a PQ lead but likely minority government and rising CAQ support, sustains tight odds. The writ period, which began August 27, and the September 17 nomination deadline leave room for late campaign developments—such as turnout patterns among younger or francophone voters, local debates, or shifts in provincial polling—to widen the gap before election day.