Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a clear lead at 35–36 percent for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning reflects AfD gains in eastern states amid broader voter shifts, while the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode since the 2021 result. The one-month timeline to election day leaves limited room for major reversals, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Key upcoming factors include final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns in this eastern state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 88%
SPD 13%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$474,391 Vol.
$474,391 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
88%
SPD
13%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 88%
SPD 13%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$474,391 Vol.
$474,391 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$96,666 Vol.
88%
SPD
$98,044 Vol.
13%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a clear lead at 35–36 percent for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning reflects AfD gains in eastern states amid broader voter shifts, while the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode since the 2021 result. The one-month timeline to election day leaves limited room for major reversals, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Key upcoming factors include final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns in this eastern state.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$474,391End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a clear lead at 35–36 percent for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning reflects AfD gains in eastern states amid broader voter shifts, while the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode since the 2021 result. The one-month timeline to election day leaves limited room for major reversals, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Key upcoming factors include final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns in this eastern state.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$474,391End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a clear lead at 35–36 percent for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning reflects AfD gains in eastern states amid broader voter shifts, while the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig has seen support erode since the 2021 result. The one-month timeline to election day leaves limited room for major reversals, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Key upcoming factors include final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns in this eastern state.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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