Mohammed Umaru Bago, the incumbent APC governor of Niger State, holds the leading position in the 2027 gubernatorial election market due to his unopposed affirmation as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries across all 277 wards. APC structures, including North-Central stakeholders, have pointed to his administration’s infrastructure projects, agricultural programs, and the party’s sweep of all 25 local government councils in late 2025 as key factors reinforcing state-level dominance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and PDP’s Abubakar Suleiman encounter significant structural barriers from the ruling party’s early ticket consolidation and Bago’s retention of his deputy as running mate. Trader consensus in the market reflects these incumbency and party-consensus dynamics ahead of the February 6, 2027, vote, with limited recent catalysts altering positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNiger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Abubakar Suleiman 13%
Mohammed Kpautagi 5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
81%
Abubakar Suleiman
12%
Mohammed Kpautagi
5%
Mohammed Umaru Bago 81%
Abubakar Suleiman 13%
Mohammed Kpautagi 5%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
$1,847 Vol.
81%
Abubakar Suleiman
$128 Vol.
12%
Mohammed Kpautagi
$73 Vol.
5%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Umaru Bago, the incumbent APC governor of Niger State, holds the leading position in the 2027 gubernatorial election market due to his unopposed affirmation as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries across all 277 wards. APC structures, including North-Central stakeholders, have pointed to his administration’s infrastructure projects, agricultural programs, and the party’s sweep of all 25 local government councils in late 2025 as key factors reinforcing state-level dominance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and PDP’s Abubakar Suleiman encounter significant structural barriers from the ruling party’s early ticket consolidation and Bago’s retention of his deputy as running mate. Trader consensus in the market reflects these incumbency and party-consensus dynamics ahead of the February 6, 2027, vote, with limited recent catalysts altering positioning.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,048End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mohammed Umaru Bago, the incumbent APC governor of Niger State, holds the leading position in the 2027 gubernatorial election market due to his unopposed affirmation as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries across all 277 wards. APC structures, including North-Central stakeholders, have pointed to his administration’s infrastructure projects, agricultural programs, and the party’s sweep of all 25 local government councils in late 2025 as key factors reinforcing state-level dominance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and PDP’s Abubakar Suleiman encounter significant structural barriers from the ruling party’s early ticket consolidation and Bago’s retention of his deputy as running mate. Trader consensus in the market reflects these incumbency and party-consensus dynamics ahead of the February 6, 2027, vote, with limited recent catalysts altering positioning.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,048End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mohammed Umaru Bago, the incumbent APC governor of Niger State, holds the leading position in the 2027 gubernatorial election market due to his unopposed affirmation as the party's consensus candidate during May 2026 primaries across all 277 wards. APC structures, including North-Central stakeholders, have pointed to his administration’s infrastructure projects, agricultural programs, and the party’s sweep of all 25 local government councils in late 2025 as key factors reinforcing state-level dominance. Opposition figures such as ADC nominee Mohammed Kpautagi and PDP’s Abubakar Suleiman encounter significant structural barriers from the ruling party’s early ticket consolidation and Bago’s retention of his deputy as running mate. Trader consensus in the market reflects these incumbency and party-consensus dynamics ahead of the February 6, 2027, vote, with limited recent catalysts altering positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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