The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election on March 11 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for Abimbola Adekanmbi and Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli amid a crowded field. Term limits bar incumbent Seyi Makinde from seeking re-election, opening the contest across parties including APC, APM, ADC, and others. Recent parallel primaries have deepened internal crises in ADC, PDP, and Accord, while APC has cleared multiple aspirants for further selection. Factors such as candidate declarations, party reconciliation efforts, and regional political alignments continue to shape positioning, with upcoming primaries and potential endorsements likely to influence separation among contenders before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAbimbola Adekanmbi 38%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 34%
Hazeem Gbolarumi 7%
Yusuf Akim Adebola 7%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abimbola Adekanmbi
38%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli
34%
Hazeem Gbolarumi
7%
Yusuf Akim Adebola
7%
Gbemileke Alagbe
4%
Oriyomi Hamzat
4%
Taofeek Adegoke
3%
Abimbola Adekanmbi 38%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli 34%
Hazeem Gbolarumi 7%
Yusuf Akim Adebola 7%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abimbola Adekanmbi
$674 Vol.
38%
Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli
$1,458 Vol.
34%
Hazeem Gbolarumi
$239 Vol.
7%
Yusuf Akim Adebola
$219 Vol.
7%
Gbemileke Alagbe
$262 Vol.
4%
Oriyomi Hamzat
$246 Vol.
4%
Taofeek Adegoke
$221 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election on March 11 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for Abimbola Adekanmbi and Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli amid a crowded field. Term limits bar incumbent Seyi Makinde from seeking re-election, opening the contest across parties including APC, APM, ADC, and others. Recent parallel primaries have deepened internal crises in ADC, PDP, and Accord, while APC has cleared multiple aspirants for further selection. Factors such as candidate declarations, party reconciliation efforts, and regional political alignments continue to shape positioning, with upcoming primaries and potential endorsements likely to influence separation among contenders before the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,320End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election on March 11 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for Abimbola Adekanmbi and Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli amid a crowded field. Term limits bar incumbent Seyi Makinde from seeking re-election, opening the contest across parties including APC, APM, ADC, and others. Recent parallel primaries have deepened internal crises in ADC, PDP, and Accord, while APC has cleared multiple aspirants for further selection. Factors such as candidate declarations, party reconciliation efforts, and regional political alignments continue to shape positioning, with upcoming primaries and potential endorsements likely to influence separation among contenders before the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$3,320End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election on March 11 remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflected in closely matched probabilities for Abimbola Adekanmbi and Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli amid a crowded field. Term limits bar incumbent Seyi Makinde from seeking re-election, opening the contest across parties including APC, APM, ADC, and others. Recent parallel primaries have deepened internal crises in ADC, PDP, and Accord, while APC has cleared multiple aspirants for further selection. Factors such as candidate declarations, party reconciliation efforts, and regional political alignments continue to shape positioning, with upcoming primaries and potential endorsements likely to influence separation among contenders before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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