Agbu Kefas, the incumbent Taraba State governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in early 2026, leads the 2027 gubernatorial race as the APC consensus candidate following his decisive primary victory in May and formal adoption at an August stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. Traders price his re-election prospects highest due to the advantages of incumbency, alignment with the federal ruling party, recent submission of nomination forms, selection of a new running mate, and endorsements from community groups. Emmanuel Bwacha of the PDP trails as the primary opposition contender after naming his own running mate in July, though the race remains subject to shifts from ongoing party dynamics, voter mobilization, and any late developments ahead of the February 2027 vote. Minor candidates trail significantly in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAgbu Kefas 64%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
64%
Emmanuel Bwacha
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
3%
Agbu Kefas 64%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
$1,110 Vol.
64%
Emmanuel Bwacha
$1,292 Vol.
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
$82 Vol.
6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
$40 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas, the incumbent Taraba State governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in early 2026, leads the 2027 gubernatorial race as the APC consensus candidate following his decisive primary victory in May and formal adoption at an August stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. Traders price his re-election prospects highest due to the advantages of incumbency, alignment with the federal ruling party, recent submission of nomination forms, selection of a new running mate, and endorsements from community groups. Emmanuel Bwacha of the PDP trails as the primary opposition contender after naming his own running mate in July, though the race remains subject to shifts from ongoing party dynamics, voter mobilization, and any late developments ahead of the February 2027 vote. Minor candidates trail significantly in market pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,524End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas, the incumbent Taraba State governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in early 2026, leads the 2027 gubernatorial race as the APC consensus candidate following his decisive primary victory in May and formal adoption at an August stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. Traders price his re-election prospects highest due to the advantages of incumbency, alignment with the federal ruling party, recent submission of nomination forms, selection of a new running mate, and endorsements from community groups. Emmanuel Bwacha of the PDP trails as the primary opposition contender after naming his own running mate in July, though the race remains subject to shifts from ongoing party dynamics, voter mobilization, and any late developments ahead of the February 2027 vote. Minor candidates trail significantly in market pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,524End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Agbu Kefas, the incumbent Taraba State governor who defected from the PDP to the APC in early 2026, leads the 2027 gubernatorial race as the APC consensus candidate following his decisive primary victory in May and formal adoption at an August stakeholders’ meeting in Jalingo. Traders price his re-election prospects highest due to the advantages of incumbency, alignment with the federal ruling party, recent submission of nomination forms, selection of a new running mate, and endorsements from community groups. Emmanuel Bwacha of the PDP trails as the primary opposition contender after naming his own running mate in July, though the race remains subject to shifts from ongoing party dynamics, voter mobilization, and any late developments ahead of the February 2027 vote. Minor candidates trail significantly in market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions