Tesla shares closed at $362.86 on August 21 after surging more than 5% on Nevada approval for up to 5,000 Cybercab robotaxis in Las Vegas and progress toward European Semi-truck launches, including a major Einride deployment. These autonomous and commercial milestones are offsetting Q2 results that showed revenue beating estimates at $28.24 billion while profits missed amid heavy capex exceeding $5.7 billion and negative free cash flow. Traders are weighing sustained FSD adoption and energy storage growth against margin compression, elevated spending plans above $25 billion annually, and a Chinese recall. With the week of August 24 beginning near current levels and no major data releases imminent, positioning reflects short-term sentiment around robotaxi timelines versus execution risks on the balance sheet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335
94%
$340
90%
$345
86%
$350
80%
$355
76%
$360
56%
$365
47%
$370
31%
$375
22%
$380
17%
$385
12%
$390
9%
$395
6%
$50 Vol.
$335
94%
$340
90%
$345
86%
$350
80%
$355
76%
$360
56%
$365
47%
$370
31%
$375
22%
$380
17%
$385
12%
$390
9%
$395
6%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed at $362.86 on August 21 after surging more than 5% on Nevada approval for up to 5,000 Cybercab robotaxis in Las Vegas and progress toward European Semi-truck launches, including a major Einride deployment. These autonomous and commercial milestones are offsetting Q2 results that showed revenue beating estimates at $28.24 billion while profits missed amid heavy capex exceeding $5.7 billion and negative free cash flow. Traders are weighing sustained FSD adoption and energy storage growth against margin compression, elevated spending plans above $25 billion annually, and a Chinese recall. With the week of August 24 beginning near current levels and no major data releases imminent, positioning reflects short-term sentiment around robotaxi timelines versus execution risks on the balance sheet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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