The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its legally mandated date of October 27, following the 25th Knesset's dissolution on July 17—the first full four-year term completed since 1988. Coalition leaders formally confirmed the October 27 timeline in July after earlier dissolution proposals failed to advance, aligning with statutory deadlines for candidate list submissions and early voting. As of late August, parties including Likud, Religious Zionist, and Democrats have completed or scheduled primaries, while opposition groups such as Yashar and Together continue slate negotiations and campaign launches without procedural interruptions. Ongoing polling and candidate announcements reflect standard pre-election activity, supporting trader consensus around a 90% implied probability that the vote proceeds as scheduled absent unforeseen legal or security developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated90% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
90% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its legally mandated date of October 27, following the 25th Knesset's dissolution on July 17—the first full four-year term completed since 1988. Coalition leaders formally confirmed the October 27 timeline in July after earlier dissolution proposals failed to advance, aligning with statutory deadlines for candidate list submissions and early voting. As of late August, parties including Likud, Religious Zionist, and Democrats have completed or scheduled primaries, while opposition groups such as Yashar and Together continue slate negotiations and campaign launches without procedural interruptions. Ongoing polling and candidate announcements reflect standard pre-election activity, supporting trader consensus around a 90% implied probability that the vote proceeds as scheduled absent unforeseen legal or security developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$3,011End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its legally mandated date of October 27, following the 25th Knesset's dissolution on July 17—the first full four-year term completed since 1988. Coalition leaders formally confirmed the October 27 timeline in July after earlier dissolution proposals failed to advance, aligning with statutory deadlines for candidate list submissions and early voting. As of late August, parties including Likud, Religious Zionist, and Democrats have completed or scheduled primaries, while opposition groups such as Yashar and Together continue slate negotiations and campaign launches without procedural interruptions. Ongoing polling and candidate announcements reflect standard pre-election activity, supporting trader consensus around a 90% implied probability that the vote proceeds as scheduled absent unforeseen legal or security developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,011End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its legally mandated date of October 27, following the 25th Knesset's dissolution on July 17—the first full four-year term completed since 1988. Coalition leaders formally confirmed the October 27 timeline in July after earlier dissolution proposals failed to advance, aligning with statutory deadlines for candidate list submissions and early voting. As of late August, parties including Likud, Religious Zionist, and Democrats have completed or scheduled primaries, while opposition groups such as Yashar and Together continue slate negotiations and campaign launches without procedural interruptions. Ongoing polling and candidate announcements reflect standard pre-election activity, supporting trader consensus around a 90% implied probability that the vote proceeds as scheduled absent unforeseen legal or security developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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