Microsoft shares trade near $483 following a strong fiscal fourth-quarter earnings beat on July 29, with revenue of $90 billion up 18% year-over-year and adjusted EPS of $4.74 exceeding consensus. Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud surpassing $214 billion for the full fiscal year underscore AI demand, supporting recent recovery from June lows near $373. Heavy capital spending, including $115.9 billion in AI-related investments, continues to pressure margins while signaling long-term positioning. The ex-dividend date of August 20 and analyst price targets averaging around $569 frame near-term sentiment, with traders monitoring broader tech sector rotation, Treasury yields, and any incremental AI monetization updates for movement during the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $532.50
2%
↑ $525
7%
↑ $517.50
6%
↑ $510
15%
↑ $502.50
30%
↑ $495
52%
↑ $487.50
79%
↓ $480
81%
↓ $472.50
51%
↓ $465
28%
↓ $457.50
15%
↓ $450
7%
↓ $442.50
5%
↓ $435
4%
$7,651 Vol.
↑ $532.50
2%
↑ $525
7%
↑ $517.50
6%
↑ $510
15%
↑ $502.50
30%
↑ $495
52%
↑ $487.50
79%
↓ $480
81%
↓ $472.50
51%
↓ $465
28%
↓ $457.50
15%
↓ $450
7%
↓ $442.50
5%
↓ $435
4%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares trade near $483 following a strong fiscal fourth-quarter earnings beat on July 29, with revenue of $90 billion up 18% year-over-year and adjusted EPS of $4.74 exceeding consensus. Azure growth exceeding 40% and Microsoft Cloud surpassing $214 billion for the full fiscal year underscore AI demand, supporting recent recovery from June lows near $373. Heavy capital spending, including $115.9 billion in AI-related investments, continues to pressure margins while signaling long-term positioning. The ex-dividend date of August 20 and analyst price targets averaging around $569 frame near-term sentiment, with traders monitoring broader tech sector rotation, Treasury yields, and any incremental AI monetization updates for movement during the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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