**Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly stated he intends to serve at least another full term on the Supreme Court.** In an August 7, 2026, Wall Street Journal interview, Alito said, “Obviously I’m here for another term,” following an erroneous late-June NPR report that briefly fueled retirement speculation before its retraction by the network and denial from the Court. Traders currently assign low probabilities to an announcement by September 30 or December 31, 2026 (around 2% and 6% respectively on Polymarket), with the June 30, 2027, date at roughly 35%. This reflects Alito’s public commitment, the start of the Court’s October 2026 term, and typical patterns where justices time departures around term ends or favorable Senate conditions—Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority that would ease any confirmation process. No health issues, official statements, or procedural deadlines have emerged since the August clarification to alter that positioning, though the November 2026 midterm elections and the conclusion of the 2026-2027 term remain key watchpoints for potential shifts.