Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve actively as a justice on Brazil’s Supremo Tribunal Federal, issuing rulings on matters including the enforcement of coup-plot convictions and procedural actions in ongoing inquiries. Multiple impeachment requests filed by opposition senators have not advanced beyond the Senate president’s review, reflecting insufficient support to reach the required supermajority threshold under constitutional procedures. Moraes’s position as vice-president positions him to assume the court presidency in 2027 per internal rotation norms, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year with no subsequent removal enacted. These institutional and procedural factors underpin trader consensus that removal remains unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or court composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8% chance
$31,043 Vol.
$31,043 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$31,043 Vol.
$31,043 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve actively as a justice on Brazil’s Supremo Tribunal Federal, issuing rulings on matters including the enforcement of coup-plot convictions and procedural actions in ongoing inquiries. Multiple impeachment requests filed by opposition senators have not advanced beyond the Senate president’s review, reflecting insufficient support to reach the required supermajority threshold under constitutional procedures. Moraes’s position as vice-president positions him to assume the court presidency in 2027 per internal rotation norms, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year with no subsequent removal enacted. These institutional and procedural factors underpin trader consensus that removal remains unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or court composition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$31,043End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve actively as a justice on Brazil’s Supremo Tribunal Federal, issuing rulings on matters including the enforcement of coup-plot convictions and procedural actions in ongoing inquiries. Multiple impeachment requests filed by opposition senators have not advanced beyond the Senate president’s review, reflecting insufficient support to reach the required supermajority threshold under constitutional procedures. Moraes’s position as vice-president positions him to assume the court presidency in 2027 per internal rotation norms, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year with no subsequent removal enacted. These institutional and procedural factors underpin trader consensus that removal remains unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or court composition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,043End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alexandre de Moraes continues to serve actively as a justice on Brazil’s Supremo Tribunal Federal, issuing rulings on matters including the enforcement of coup-plot convictions and procedural actions in ongoing inquiries. Multiple impeachment requests filed by opposition senators have not advanced beyond the Senate president’s review, reflecting insufficient support to reach the required supermajority threshold under constitutional procedures. Moraes’s position as vice-president positions him to assume the court presidency in 2027 per internal rotation norms, while U.S. sanctions imposed in 2025 were lifted by December of that year with no subsequent removal enacted. These institutional and procedural factors underpin trader consensus that removal remains unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or court composition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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