SpaceX (SPCX) shares have faced near-term pressure from successive post-IPO lock-up expirations, including a 319 million share tranche released around August 20-21 that increased the public float and contributed to the stock slipping back toward its $135 IPO price after trading above $160 earlier in the summer. The June 12 debut at an $1.77 trillion valuation quickly pushed the market cap above $2.1 trillion amid strong initial demand, but Q2 2026 results and rising supply have highlighted execution risks around heavy capital expenditures and launch competition. Trader focus now centers on the next major unlock tranche in November, Starship reflight timelines, and broader risk appetite for growth equities amid shifting Treasury yields. These supply dynamics and operational milestones are the dominant forces shaping near-term price action.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 28, 2026
↑ $152.50
32%
↑ $150
38%
↑ $147.50
45%
↑ $145
52%
↑ $142.50
54%
↑ $140
59%
↑ $137.50
65%
↓ $135
65%
↓ $132.50
59%
↓ $130
54%
↓ $127.50
49%
↓ $125
39%
↓ $122.50
31%
↓ $120
24%
$42 Vol.
↑ $152.50
$0 Vol.
32%
↑ $150
$0 Vol.
38%
↑ $147.50
$0 Vol.
45%
↑ $145
$0 Vol.
52%
↑ $142.50
$0 Vol.
54%
↑ $140
$0 Vol.
59%
↑ $137.50
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ $135
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ $132.50
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ $130
$42 Vol.
54%
↓ $127.50
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $125
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ $122.50
$0 Vol.
31%
↓ $120
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.SpaceX (SPCX) shares have faced near-term pressure from successive post-IPO lock-up expirations, including a 319 million share tranche released around August 20-21 that increased the public float and contributed to the stock slipping back toward its $135 IPO price after trading above $160 earlier in the summer. The June 12 debut at an $1.77 trillion valuation quickly pushed the market cap above $2.1 trillion amid strong initial demand, but Q2 2026 results and rising supply have highlighted execution risks around heavy capital expenditures and launch competition. Trader focus now centers on the next major unlock tranche in November, Starship reflight timelines, and broader risk appetite for growth equities amid shifting Treasury yields. These supply dynamics and operational milestones are the dominant forces shaping near-term price action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.SpaceX (SPCX) shares have faced near-term pressure from successive post-IPO lock-up expirations, including a 319 million share tranche released around August 20-21 that increased the public float and contributed to the stock slipping back toward its $135 IPO price after trading above $160 earlier in the summer. The June 12 debut at an $1.77 trillion valuation quickly pushed the market cap above $2.1 trillion amid strong initial demand, but Q2 2026 results and rising supply have highlighted execution risks around heavy capital expenditures and launch competition. Trader focus now centers on the next major unlock tranche in November, Starship reflight timelines, and broader risk appetite for growth equities amid shifting Treasury yields. These supply dynamics and operational milestones are the dominant forces shaping near-term price action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$42End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have faced near-term pressure from successive post-IPO lock-up expirations, including a 319 million share tranche released around August 20-21 that increased the public float and contributed to the stock slipping back toward its $135 IPO price after trading above $160 earlier in the summer. The June 12 debut at an $1.77 trillion valuation quickly pushed the market cap above $2.1 trillion amid strong initial demand, but Q2 2026 results and rising supply have highlighted execution risks around heavy capital expenditures and launch competition. Trader focus now centers on the next major unlock tranche in November, Starship reflight timelines, and broader risk appetite for growth equities amid shifting Treasury yields. These supply dynamics and operational milestones are the dominant forces shaping near-term price action.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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