**Traders assign a 56% implied probability to Amanda Batula and West Wilson remaining together through the end of 2026 (i.e., “No” on a breakup before 2027).** The couple publicly confirmed their relationship in late March 2026 after Amanda’s January separation from Kyle Cooke, drawing intense backlash from the *Summer House* cast—particularly Ciara Miller (Amanda’s former best friend) and Kyle—over timeline concerns, perceived overlap, and fractured friendships. Both were ultimately not invited back for Season 11, which began filming in July 2026, removing them from the show’s immediate spotlight and allowing a lower-profile existence focused on personal projects. As of mid-August 2026, verified reporting and public sightings (including a Montana wedding weekend in July and an Italy trip) indicate the pair is still together and leaning into shared moments, such as pregnancy speculation. Earlier June reports noted post-reunion tension and cast predictions of an eventual split, yet recent accounts describe them as committed and avoiding media scrutiny. With roughly four months remaining until 2027, the slim majority favoring stability reflects their willingness to weather the scandal together outside the *Summer House* ecosystem, tempered by the relationship’s short public history and ongoing external pressure. Key near-term catalysts include any new social media activity, joint appearances, or fallout from Season 11 episodes.