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Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$46,240 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$46,240 Vol.

Polymarket
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J.D. Vance

$752 Vol.

91%

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Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

87%

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Ted Cruz

$1,463 Vol.

83%

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Gavin Newsom

$3,497 Vol.

82%

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Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

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Kamala Harris

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74%

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Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

74%

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Cory Booker

$858 Vol.

68%

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Josh Shapiro

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67%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

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Ron DeSantis

$468 Vol.

75%

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Mark Kelly

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64%

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Jon Ossoff

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60%

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Wes Moore

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Elise Stefanik

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54%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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Kristi Noem

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51%

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Candace Owens

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Matt Gaetz

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49%

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Donald Trump

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49%

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Don Lemon

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Marco Rubio

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Nikki Haley

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Raphael Warnock

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Tucker Carlson

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Glenn Youngkin

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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Katie Britt

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28%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Beto O’Rourke

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27%

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Donald Trump Jr.

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Brian Kemp

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Erika Kirk

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Chelsea Clinton

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Byron Donalds

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54%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As of August 2026, no major-party contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the field wide open following Donald Trump’s term-limited status under the 22nd Amendment.** Early positioning has intensified ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Chris Van Hollen (who recently said he is “kicking the tires”) signaling interest through visits to early states, books, podcasts, and donor outreach. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio lead speculation, though both have deferred detailed discussion until after the midterms. Only minor candidates have filed with the FEC. Announcements are widely expected in late 2026 or early 2027 once midterm results clarify party dynamics, donor landscapes, and primary calendars. This timeline and the absence of an incumbent frontrunner explain elevated market probabilities for multiple names declaring before 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,240
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As of August 2026, no major-party contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid, leaving the field wide open following Donald Trump’s term-limited status under the 22nd Amendment.** Early positioning has intensified ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Chris Van Hollen (who recently said he is “kicking the tires”) signaling interest through visits to early states, books, podcasts, and donor outreach. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio lead speculation, though both have deferred detailed discussion until after the midterms. Only minor candidates have filed with the FEC. Announcements are widely expected in late 2026 or early 2027 once midterm results clarify party dynamics, donor landscapes, and primary calendars. This timeline and the absence of an incumbent frontrunner explain elevated market probabilities for multiple names declaring before 2028.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,240
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 91%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $46.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.