Exit polls released immediately after Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai vote place the Auyl party second with roughly 6 percent support, well behind Adilet’s projected 70-72 percent share but comfortably ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, and the Nationwide Social Democratic Party clustered near the 5 percent threshold. This outcome aligns with multiple pre-election surveys that consistently ranked Auyl second on the strength of its rural and agrarian base. Traders have priced Auyl at 97 percent for second place, reflecting the stability of those figures across independent polling institutes. Official results or any post-election disputes over seat allocation could still alter the ranking, though the gap shown in exit data would require substantial revision to displace Auyl.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
Auyl 97.3%
Aq Jol 1.0%
Respublica <1%
Adilet <1%
$124,503 Vol.
$124,503 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
Auyl
97%
Aq Jol
1%
Respublica
<1%
Adilet
<1%
QHP
<1%
JSDP
<1%
Baytaq
<1%
Auyl 97.3%
Aq Jol 1.0%
Respublica <1%
Adilet <1%
$124,503 Vol.
$124,503 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
Auyl
$70,712 Vol.
97%
Aq Jol
$11,868 Vol.
1%
Respublica
$8,909 Vol.
<1%
Adilet
$18,996 Vol.
<1%
QHP
$3,646 Vol.
<1%
JSDP
$8,780 Vol.
<1%
Baytaq
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Exit polls released immediately after Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai vote place the Auyl party second with roughly 6 percent support, well behind Adilet’s projected 70-72 percent share but comfortably ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, and the Nationwide Social Democratic Party clustered near the 5 percent threshold. This outcome aligns with multiple pre-election surveys that consistently ranked Auyl second on the strength of its rural and agrarian base. Traders have priced Auyl at 97 percent for second place, reflecting the stability of those figures across independent polling institutes. Official results or any post-election disputes over seat allocation could still alter the ranking, though the gap shown in exit data would require substantial revision to displace Auyl.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$124,503End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Exit polls released immediately after Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai vote place the Auyl party second with roughly 6 percent support, well behind Adilet’s projected 70-72 percent share but comfortably ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, and the Nationwide Social Democratic Party clustered near the 5 percent threshold. This outcome aligns with multiple pre-election surveys that consistently ranked Auyl second on the strength of its rural and agrarian base. Traders have priced Auyl at 97 percent for second place, reflecting the stability of those figures across independent polling institutes. Official results or any post-election disputes over seat allocation could still alter the ranking, though the gap shown in exit data would require substantial revision to displace Auyl.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Volume
$124,503End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Exit polls released immediately after Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai vote place the Auyl party second with roughly 6 percent support, well behind Adilet’s projected 70-72 percent share but comfortably ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, and the Nationwide Social Democratic Party clustered near the 5 percent threshold. This outcome aligns with multiple pre-election surveys that consistently ranked Auyl second on the strength of its rural and agrarian base. Traders have priced Auyl at 97 percent for second place, reflecting the stability of those figures across independent polling institutes. Official results or any post-election disputes over seat allocation could still alter the ranking, though the gap shown in exit data would require substantial revision to displace Auyl.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions