Jim Schwartzel captured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, securing roughly 29 percent of the vote in a ten-candidate field and finishing well ahead of Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf and the remaining contenders. As a Naples native, radio-station owner, and local businessman with no prior elected office, Schwartzel benefited from strong name recognition inside the district, substantial fundraising, and endorsements such as House Majority Leader Steve Scalise that reinforced his America First positioning. The open seat created by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid drew multiple out-of-state challengers whose campaigns failed to consolidate support. With results called by the Associated Press and confirmed across major outlets, trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the completed vote tally; realistic shifts would require an official recount reversal or successful legal challenge, both considered improbable given the margin and rapid certification timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMadison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Spencer Roach <1%
$192,694 Vol.
$192,694 Vol.

Madison Cawthorn
<1%

Bob Rommel
<1%

Spencer Roach
<1%
Madison Cawthorn <1%
Bob Rommel <1%
Spencer Roach <1%
$192,694 Vol.
$192,694 Vol.

Madison Cawthorn
<1%

Bob Rommel
<1%

Spencer Roach
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jim Schwartzel captured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, securing roughly 29 percent of the vote in a ten-candidate field and finishing well ahead of Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf and the remaining contenders. As a Naples native, radio-station owner, and local businessman with no prior elected office, Schwartzel benefited from strong name recognition inside the district, substantial fundraising, and endorsements such as House Majority Leader Steve Scalise that reinforced his America First positioning. The open seat created by Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid drew multiple out-of-state challengers whose campaigns failed to consolidate support. With results called by the Associated Press and confirmed across major outlets, trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the completed vote tally; realistic shifts would require an official recount reversal or successful legal challenge, both considered improbable given the margin and rapid certification timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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