Stephen Skoly holds the leading position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, driven by his endorsement from the state GOP at the June convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. A mid-August Embold poll showed Skoly ahead 29% to 22% among likely primary voters, though nearly half remained undecided. Mellor, who has self-funded over $2.8 million in the cycle, brings strong personal resources and a debate appearance set for September 4 that could influence remaining undecided voters. Early voting began August 20, narrowing the window for shifts ahead of the contest to select the nominee challenging Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Trader consensus reflects the endorsement advantage and polling edge for Skoly while pricing in the narrow margin and late-stage variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Stephen Skoly
61%
Victor Mellor
34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Stephen Skoly
$445 Vol.
61%
Victor Mellor
$474 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds the leading position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, driven by his endorsement from the state GOP at the June convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. A mid-August Embold poll showed Skoly ahead 29% to 22% among likely primary voters, though nearly half remained undecided. Mellor, who has self-funded over $2.8 million in the cycle, brings strong personal resources and a debate appearance set for September 4 that could influence remaining undecided voters. Early voting began August 20, narrowing the window for shifts ahead of the contest to select the nominee challenging Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Trader consensus reflects the endorsement advantage and polling edge for Skoly while pricing in the narrow margin and late-stage variables.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$919End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds the leading position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, driven by his endorsement from the state GOP at the June convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. A mid-August Embold poll showed Skoly ahead 29% to 22% among likely primary voters, though nearly half remained undecided. Mellor, who has self-funded over $2.8 million in the cycle, brings strong personal resources and a debate appearance set for September 4 that could influence remaining undecided voters. Early voting began August 20, narrowing the window for shifts ahead of the contest to select the nominee challenging Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Trader consensus reflects the endorsement advantage and polling edge for Skoly while pricing in the narrow margin and late-stage variables.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$919End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Skoly holds the leading position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, driven by his endorsement from the state GOP at the June convention after Victor Mellor stepped back from the process. A mid-August Embold poll showed Skoly ahead 29% to 22% among likely primary voters, though nearly half remained undecided. Mellor, who has self-funded over $2.8 million in the cycle, brings strong personal resources and a debate appearance set for September 4 that could influence remaining undecided voters. Early voting began August 20, narrowing the window for shifts ahead of the contest to select the nominee challenging Democratic incumbent Seth Magaziner. Trader consensus reflects the endorsement advantage and polling edge for Skoly while pricing in the narrow margin and late-stage variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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