KATSEYE’s “WILD” EP, released August 14 via HYBE and Geffen, drives the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of August 29. Strong pre-order momentum, triple title tracks, and projected first-week consumption near 170,000 units—well ahead of competitors—underpin the consensus among traders. Recent midweek tracking from Hits Daily Double reinforces this lead, consistent with the group’s rising profile after prior top-10 entries. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another release, such as a major streaming spike for holdovers like Stray Kids or Morgan Wallen, though current data shows limited room for such shifts before the tracking week closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard 200 #1 Album Week of August 29
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of August 29
WILD - KATSEYE 99.3%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo <1%
Music, Fashion, Film - Charli xcx <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
WILD - KATSEYE
99%
Petal - Ariana Grande
<1%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
Music, Fashion, Film - Charli xcx
<1%
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
<1%
THIS & THAT - Stray Kids
<1%
Dandelion - Ella Langley
<1%
I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen
<1%
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers
<1%
WILD - KATSEYE 99.3%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo <1%
Music, Fashion, Film - Charli xcx <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
WILD - KATSEYE
$2,722 Vol.
99%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$322 Vol.
<1%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
$434 Vol.
<1%
Music, Fashion, Film - Charli xcx
$461 Vol.
<1%
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
$571 Vol.
<1%
THIS & THAT - Stray Kids
$664 Vol.
<1%
Dandelion - Ella Langley
$413 Vol.
<1%
I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen
$328 Vol.
<1%
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers
$246 Vol.
<1%
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.KATSEYE’s “WILD” EP, released August 14 via HYBE and Geffen, drives the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of August 29. Strong pre-order momentum, triple title tracks, and projected first-week consumption near 170,000 units—well ahead of competitors—underpin the consensus among traders. Recent midweek tracking from Hits Daily Double reinforces this lead, consistent with the group’s rising profile after prior top-10 entries. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another release, such as a major streaming spike for holdovers like Stray Kids or Morgan Wallen, though current data shows limited room for such shifts before the tracking week closes.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$6,162End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.KATSEYE’s “WILD” EP, released August 14 via HYBE and Geffen, drives the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of August 29. Strong pre-order momentum, triple title tracks, and projected first-week consumption near 170,000 units—well ahead of competitors—underpin the consensus among traders. Recent midweek tracking from Hits Daily Double reinforces this lead, consistent with the group’s rising profile after prior top-10 entries. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another release, such as a major streaming spike for holdovers like Stray Kids or Morgan Wallen, though current data shows limited room for such shifts before the tracking week closes.
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of August 29, 2026”. Albums will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more albums are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the albums' listed titles. This market will resolve to the album that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$6,162End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...KATSEYE’s “WILD” EP, released August 14 via HYBE and Geffen, drives the overwhelming 99.3% market-implied probability of topping the Billboard 200 for the week of August 29. Strong pre-order momentum, triple title tracks, and projected first-week consumption near 170,000 units—well ahead of competitors—underpin the consensus among traders. Recent midweek tracking from Hits Daily Double reinforces this lead, consistent with the group’s rising profile after prior top-10 entries. An upset would require an unforeseen late surge from another release, such as a major streaming spike for holdovers like Stray Kids or Morgan Wallen, though current data shows limited room for such shifts before the tracking week closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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