Stella Lefty's "Boston" holds a commanding 93% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of September 5, driven by dominant streaming velocity and early radio gains that have outpaced rivals in the current tracking window. Traders see limited upside for high-profile challengers including Ariana Grande tracks, Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead," or Ella Langley's country entries, all trading below 3%, as none appear positioned for the late surge needed to close the gap. An upset remains possible only if one of those releases posts an outsized final-day sales or airplay spike before the chart locks, though precedent favors the established frontrunner in similar late-cycle scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of September 5
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of September 5
Boston - Stella Lefty 93%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 2.7%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 2.6%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
93%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
3%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
2%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
2%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
2%
Petal - Ariana Grande
1%
Boston - Stella Lefty 93%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 2.7%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 2.6%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
$988 Vol.
93%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$20 Vol.
3%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$20 Vol.
3%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$65 Vol.
3%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$0 Vol.
2%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$0 Vol.
2%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$5 Vol.
2%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$160 Vol.
1%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Stella Lefty's "Boston" holds a commanding 93% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of September 5, driven by dominant streaming velocity and early radio gains that have outpaced rivals in the current tracking window. Traders see limited upside for high-profile challengers including Ariana Grande tracks, Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead," or Ella Langley's country entries, all trading below 3%, as none appear positioned for the late surge needed to close the gap. An upset remains possible only if one of those releases posts an outsized final-day sales or airplay spike before the chart locks, though precedent favors the established frontrunner in similar late-cycle scenarios.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$1,258End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Stella Lefty's "Boston" holds a commanding 93% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of September 5, driven by dominant streaming velocity and early radio gains that have outpaced rivals in the current tracking window. Traders see limited upside for high-profile challengers including Ariana Grande tracks, Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead," or Ella Langley's country entries, all trading below 3%, as none appear positioned for the late surge needed to close the gap. An upset remains possible only if one of those releases posts an outsized final-day sales or airplay spike before the chart locks, though precedent favors the established frontrunner in similar late-cycle scenarios.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$1,258End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stella Lefty's "Boston" holds a commanding 93% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of September 5, driven by dominant streaming velocity and early radio gains that have outpaced rivals in the current tracking window. Traders see limited upside for high-profile challengers including Ariana Grande tracks, Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You," Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead," or Ella Langley's country entries, all trading below 3%, as none appear positioned for the late surge needed to close the gap. An upset remains possible only if one of those releases posts an outsized final-day sales or airplay spike before the chart locks, though precedent favors the established frontrunner in similar late-cycle scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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