Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has moderated to roughly 13–21 posts per day across multiple short windows, anchoring trader consensus on the 40-64 bracket at 75.5% implied probability for the September 14–16 period. Routine commentary on Tesla, Grok updates, Starship progress, and AI safety discussions—including his public alignment with calls for slower development—has sustained steady but not elevated volume, consistent with settled prior three-day markets in the same range. With the window closing imminently and no major product launches or controversies driving spikes, the 65-89 outcome trails at 24.5% while higher brackets remain negligible, reflecting market pricing of his established daily rhythm rather than outlier bursts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 76%
65-89 25%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$403,158 Vol.
$403,158 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
40-64
76%
65-89
25%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 76%
65-89 25%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$403,158 Vol.
$403,158 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
40-64
$77,805 Vol.
76%
65-89
$76,724 Vol.
25%
90-114
$83,320 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$62,569 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$11,250 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,339 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$5,156 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
240+
$2,578 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has moderated to roughly 13–21 posts per day across multiple short windows, anchoring trader consensus on the 40-64 bracket at 75.5% implied probability for the September 14–16 period. Routine commentary on Tesla, Grok updates, Starship progress, and AI safety discussions—including his public alignment with calls for slower development—has sustained steady but not elevated volume, consistent with settled prior three-day markets in the same range. With the window closing imminently and no major product launches or controversies driving spikes, the 65-89 outcome trails at 24.5% while higher brackets remain negligible, reflecting market pricing of his established daily rhythm rather than outlier bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$403,158End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has moderated to roughly 13–21 posts per day across multiple short windows, anchoring trader consensus on the 40-64 bracket at 75.5% implied probability for the September 14–16 period. Routine commentary on Tesla, Grok updates, Starship progress, and AI safety discussions—including his public alignment with calls for slower development—has sustained steady but not elevated volume, consistent with settled prior three-day markets in the same range. With the window closing imminently and no major product launches or controversies driving spikes, the 65-89 outcome trails at 24.5% while higher brackets remain negligible, reflecting market pricing of his established daily rhythm rather than outlier bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$403,158End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence on X has moderated to roughly 13–21 posts per day across multiple short windows, anchoring trader consensus on the 40-64 bracket at 75.5% implied probability for the September 14–16 period. Routine commentary on Tesla, Grok updates, Starship progress, and AI safety discussions—including his public alignment with calls for slower development—has sustained steady but not elevated volume, consistent with settled prior three-day markets in the same range. With the window closing imminently and no major product launches or controversies driving spikes, the 65-89 outcome trails at 24.5% while higher brackets remain negligible, reflecting market pricing of his established daily rhythm rather than outlier bursts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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