**Strong legs from its record $360M opening and sustained audience enthusiasm position Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a domestic total in the low-to-mid $900Ms by September 30.** As of late August, the film sits near $869M after surpassing Avengers: Endgame domestically and driving an all-time August box office record, with daily grosses still in the low millions despite a fourth-weekend drop. Excellent critical and audience reception (98% RT audience score), Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited late-summer competition support continued holds through Labor Day and beyond. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% probability for the 940-950M bracket, factors in typical superhero legs and the September cutoff before any further tail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
940 - 950m 47%
<940m 24%
950 - 960m 23%
960 - 970m 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
24%
940 - 950m
47%
950 - 960m
27%
960 - 970m
19%
970m+
5%
940 - 950m 47%
<940m 24%
950 - 960m 23%
960 - 970m 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$229 Vol.
24%
940 - 950m
$259 Vol.
47%
950 - 960m
$254 Vol.
27%
960 - 970m
$195 Vol.
19%
970m+
$156 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong legs from its record $360M opening and sustained audience enthusiasm position Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a domestic total in the low-to-mid $900Ms by September 30.** As of late August, the film sits near $869M after surpassing Avengers: Endgame domestically and driving an all-time August box office record, with daily grosses still in the low millions despite a fourth-weekend drop. Excellent critical and audience reception (98% RT audience score), Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited late-summer competition support continued holds through Labor Day and beyond. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% probability for the 940-950M bracket, factors in typical superhero legs and the September cutoff before any further tail.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,093End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong legs from its record $360M opening and sustained audience enthusiasm position Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a domestic total in the low-to-mid $900Ms by September 30.** As of late August, the film sits near $869M after surpassing Avengers: Endgame domestically and driving an all-time August box office record, with daily grosses still in the low millions despite a fourth-weekend drop. Excellent critical and audience reception (98% RT audience score), Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited late-summer competition support continued holds through Labor Day and beyond. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% probability for the 940-950M bracket, factors in typical superhero legs and the September cutoff before any further tail.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,093End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong legs from its record $360M opening and sustained audience enthusiasm position Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a domestic total in the low-to-mid $900Ms by September 30.** As of late August, the film sits near $869M after surpassing Avengers: Endgame domestically and driving an all-time August box office record, with daily grosses still in the low millions despite a fourth-weekend drop. Excellent critical and audience reception (98% RT audience score), Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited late-summer competition support continued holds through Labor Day and beyond. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47% probability for the 940-950M bracket, factors in typical superhero legs and the September cutoff before any further tail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions