Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 60%

Facing El Chapo 21.9%

The Whisper Man (2026) 21%

Don't Say Good Luck <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look 60%

Facing El Chapo 21.9%

The Whisper Man (2026) 21%

Don't Say Good Luck <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Whisper Man (2026)

The Whisper Man (2026)

$4,016 Vol.

21%

icon for Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

Untold: The Testimony of Vince Young

$380 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look

$1,335 Vol.

60%

icon for Facing El Chapo

Facing El Chapo

$911 Vol.

22%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$355 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent exclusive Netflix premiere of Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look on August 27 drove its market lead, as the nearly 30-minute in-game footage special captured on PS5 generated immediate buzz and chart dominance through Rockstar’s marketing push and subscriber exclusivity for the first six hours. Traders see this as a short-term viewership spike likely to secure the top U.S. spot on the next weekly update, outpacing established titles amid intense fan engagement and media coverage. Older releases such as The Whisper Man face steeper competition from fresher catalog momentum, while niche or low-profile entries remain sidelined by limited promotional lift and historical chart patterns. The next Netflix Top 10 refresh remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,610
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The recent exclusive Netflix premiere of Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look on August 27 drove its market lead, as the nearly 30-minute in-game footage special captured on PS5 generated immediate buzz and chart dominance through Rockstar’s marketing push and subscriber exclusivity for the first six hours. Traders see this as a short-term viewership spike likely to secure the top U.S. spot on the next weekly update, outpacing established titles amid intense fan engagement and media coverage. Older releases such as The Whisper Man face steeper competition from fresher catalog momentum, while niche or low-profile entries remain sidelined by limited promotional lift and historical chart patterns. The next Netflix Top 10 refresh remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,610
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

47%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

88%
icon for Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

43%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 60%, followed by "Facing El Chapo" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Facing El Chapo" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.