**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to lead the domestic box office into its fifth weekend on the strength of robust audience retention and an A CinemaScore, despite the steep early drops typical of event-level superhero openings. After a record $360 million debut and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title has banked over $855 million domestically through four frames, outpacing prior franchise benchmarks while maintaining strong per-theater averages. Traders favor the 22-24 million range because the observed 45-51% weekly declines point to a comparable hold in the low-to-mid $20 millions, consistent with late-summer patterns for high-profile releases that have already captured the bulk of their core audience. Upcoming chart updates and any new competition will serve as the next key signals for momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
22-24m 57%
20-22m 29%
24-26m 11%
<20m 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
5%
20-22m
29%
22-24m
57%
24-26m
11%
26m+
3%
22-24m 57%
20-22m 29%
24-26m 11%
<20m 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
<20m
$609 Vol.
5%
20-22m
$145 Vol.
29%
22-24m
$1,157 Vol.
57%
24-26m
$145 Vol.
11%
26m+
$145 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to lead the domestic box office into its fifth weekend on the strength of robust audience retention and an A CinemaScore, despite the steep early drops typical of event-level superhero openings. After a record $360 million debut and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title has banked over $855 million domestically through four frames, outpacing prior franchise benchmarks while maintaining strong per-theater averages. Traders favor the 22-24 million range because the observed 45-51% weekly declines point to a comparable hold in the low-to-mid $20 millions, consistent with late-summer patterns for high-profile releases that have already captured the bulk of their core audience. Upcoming chart updates and any new competition will serve as the next key signals for momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$2,201End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to lead the domestic box office into its fifth weekend on the strength of robust audience retention and an A CinemaScore, despite the steep early drops typical of event-level superhero openings. After a record $360 million debut and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title has banked over $855 million domestically through four frames, outpacing prior franchise benchmarks while maintaining strong per-theater averages. Traders favor the 22-24 million range because the observed 45-51% weekly declines point to a comparable hold in the low-to-mid $20 millions, consistent with late-summer patterns for high-profile releases that have already captured the bulk of their core audience. Upcoming chart updates and any new competition will serve as the next key signals for momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,201End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues to lead the domestic box office into its fifth weekend on the strength of robust audience retention and an A CinemaScore, despite the steep early drops typical of event-level superhero openings. After a record $360 million debut and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title has banked over $855 million domestically through four frames, outpacing prior franchise benchmarks while maintaining strong per-theater averages. Traders favor the 22-24 million range because the observed 45-51% weekly declines point to a comparable hold in the low-to-mid $20 millions, consistent with late-summer patterns for high-profile releases that have already captured the bulk of their core audience. Upcoming chart updates and any new competition will serve as the next key signals for momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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