Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent weeks, with notable variation tied to news cycles, political commentary, and platform engagement. For the three-day window beginning September 7, 2026, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability because early-week activity has shown a moderate rhythm without the high-volume spikes seen in prior periods exceeding 100 daily posts. Recent short-window settlements, including a sub-40 outcome for September 5–7 and a 40-64 resolution earlier in the month, reinforce expectations of tempered weekend output when major corporate or election-cycle catalysts are absent. The lower <40 bin at 28.5% reflects the possibility of lighter engagement typical of weekends, while higher brackets remain thinly traded given the compressed timeframe and lack of immediate breaking developments likely to accelerate reply chains or quote-post volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 48%
<40 29%
65-89 19%
90-114 4.7%
$42,833 Vol.
$42,833 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
<40
29%
40-64
48%
65-89
19%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
<40 29%
65-89 19%
90-114 4.7%
$42,833 Vol.
$42,833 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
<40
$15,738 Vol.
29%
40-64
$3,496 Vol.
48%
65-89
$5,079 Vol.
19%
90-114
$4,438 Vol.
5%
115-139
$2,520 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,612 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$3,787 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,407 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,476 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent weeks, with notable variation tied to news cycles, political commentary, and platform engagement. For the three-day window beginning September 7, 2026, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability because early-week activity has shown a moderate rhythm without the high-volume spikes seen in prior periods exceeding 100 daily posts. Recent short-window settlements, including a sub-40 outcome for September 5–7 and a 40-64 resolution earlier in the month, reinforce expectations of tempered weekend output when major corporate or election-cycle catalysts are absent. The lower <40 bin at 28.5% reflects the possibility of lighter engagement typical of weekends, while higher brackets remain thinly traded given the compressed timeframe and lack of immediate breaking developments likely to accelerate reply chains or quote-post volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$42,833End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent weeks, with notable variation tied to news cycles, political commentary, and platform engagement. For the three-day window beginning September 7, 2026, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability because early-week activity has shown a moderate rhythm without the high-volume spikes seen in prior periods exceeding 100 daily posts. Recent short-window settlements, including a sub-40 outcome for September 5–7 and a 40-64 resolution earlier in the month, reinforce expectations of tempered weekend output when major corporate or election-cycle catalysts are absent. The lower <40 bin at 28.5% reflects the possibility of lighter engagement typical of weekends, while higher brackets remain thinly traded given the compressed timeframe and lack of immediate breaking developments likely to accelerate reply chains or quote-post volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$42,833End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X typically averages 25–40 posts per day in recent weeks, with notable variation tied to news cycles, political commentary, and platform engagement. For the three-day window beginning September 7, 2026, traders have coalesced around the 40-64 bracket at 47.5% implied probability because early-week activity has shown a moderate rhythm without the high-volume spikes seen in prior periods exceeding 100 daily posts. Recent short-window settlements, including a sub-40 outcome for September 5–7 and a 40-64 resolution earlier in the month, reinforce expectations of tempered weekend output when major corporate or election-cycle catalysts are absent. The lower <40 bin at 28.5% reflects the possibility of lighter engagement typical of weekends, while higher brackets remain thinly traded given the compressed timeframe and lack of immediate breaking developments likely to accelerate reply chains or quote-post volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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