Trader sentiment for the EB Games-exclusive Gengar Cosmos Holo promo remains tightly balanced near 51% implied probability for a price decline by August 31 because recent TCGPlayer and Collectr data show the raw near-mint price hovering around $185, just below the resolution threshold of $185.44. The card’s March 2026 release drove initial scarcity premiums and strong liquidity through hundreds of secondary sales, yet post-hype dynamics typical of regional promos have produced modest plateauing rather than continued upward momentum. Gengar’s collector appeal sustains demand, but the GameStop counterpart trades significantly lower and broader supply absorption has tempered spikes. With no major set releases, graded sales surges, or promotional catalysts before month-end, the narrow edge reflects classic promo cooling versus entrenched regional exclusivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Up/Down on August 31?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for the EB Games-exclusive Gengar Cosmos Holo promo remains tightly balanced near 51% implied probability for a price decline by August 31 because recent TCGPlayer and Collectr data show the raw near-mint price hovering around $185, just below the resolution threshold of $185.44. The card’s March 2026 release drove initial scarcity premiums and strong liquidity through hundreds of secondary sales, yet post-hype dynamics typical of regional promos have produced modest plateauing rather than continued upward momentum. Gengar’s collector appeal sustains demand, but the GameStop counterpart trades significantly lower and broader supply absorption has tempered spikes. With no major set releases, graded sales surges, or promotional catalysts before month-end, the narrow edge reflects classic promo cooling versus entrenched regional exclusivity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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