Tanoa Sasraku leads market-implied odds at 35% among the four Turner Prize 2026 nominees, buoyed by strong critical praise for her ICA exhibition Morale Patch, whose geopolitical sculptures and oil-focused themes carry timely resonance. The shortlist—also featuring Kira Freije at 25%, Marguerite Humeau at 22%, and Simeon Barclay at 15%—reflects a process-led mix of sculpture, performance, and installation, announced in April with the group exhibition slated to open at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 ceremony. Traders see limited separation because no clear frontrunner has emerged from prior guild-style signals or reviews, leaving room for late shifts once the full display opens and the jury weighs contemporary relevance against historical patterns in Turner voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTurner Prize 2026 Winner
Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Tanoa Sasraku 35%
Kira Freije 25%
Marguerite Humeau 22%
Simeon Barclay 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
35%
Kira Freije
25%
Marguerite Humeau
22%
Simeon Barclay
15%
Tanoa Sasraku 35%
Kira Freije 25%
Marguerite Humeau 22%
Simeon Barclay 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 10, 2026
Tanoa Sasraku
$2,155 Vol.
35%
Kira Freije
$618 Vol.
25%
Marguerite Humeau
$1,040 Vol.
22%
Simeon Barclay
$309 Vol.
15%
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tanoa Sasraku leads market-implied odds at 35% among the four Turner Prize 2026 nominees, buoyed by strong critical praise for her ICA exhibition Morale Patch, whose geopolitical sculptures and oil-focused themes carry timely resonance. The shortlist—also featuring Kira Freije at 25%, Marguerite Humeau at 22%, and Simeon Barclay at 15%—reflects a process-led mix of sculpture, performance, and installation, announced in April with the group exhibition slated to open at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 ceremony. Traders see limited separation because no clear frontrunner has emerged from prior guild-style signals or reviews, leaving room for late shifts once the full display opens and the jury weighs contemporary relevance against historical patterns in Turner voting.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,123End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tanoa Sasraku leads market-implied odds at 35% among the four Turner Prize 2026 nominees, buoyed by strong critical praise for her ICA exhibition Morale Patch, whose geopolitical sculptures and oil-focused themes carry timely resonance. The shortlist—also featuring Kira Freije at 25%, Marguerite Humeau at 22%, and Simeon Barclay at 15%—reflects a process-led mix of sculpture, performance, and installation, announced in April with the group exhibition slated to open at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 ceremony. Traders see limited separation because no clear frontrunner has emerged from prior guild-style signals or reviews, leaving room for late shifts once the full display opens and the jury weighs contemporary relevance against historical patterns in Turner voting.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.
If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,123End Date
Dec 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tanoa Sasraku leads market-implied odds at 35% among the four Turner Prize 2026 nominees, buoyed by strong critical praise for her ICA exhibition Morale Patch, whose geopolitical sculptures and oil-focused themes carry timely resonance. The shortlist—also featuring Kira Freije at 25%, Marguerite Humeau at 22%, and Simeon Barclay at 15%—reflects a process-led mix of sculpture, performance, and installation, announced in April with the group exhibition slated to open at MIMA on September 26 ahead of the December 10 ceremony. Traders see limited separation because no clear frontrunner has emerged from prior guild-style signals or reviews, leaving room for late shifts once the full display opens and the jury weighs contemporary relevance against historical patterns in Turner voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions