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icon for Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

icon for Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Ella Langley 55%

SIENNA SPIRO 24%

Megan Moroney 21%

Adéla 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Ella Langley 55%

SIENNA SPIRO 24%

Megan Moroney 21%

Adéla 19%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ella Langley

Ella Langley

$73 Vol.

55%

icon for SIENNA SPIRO

SIENNA SPIRO

$86 Vol.

24%

icon for Megan Moroney

Megan Moroney

$53 Vol.

21%

icon for Adéla

Adéla

$53 Vol.

19%

icon for Bella Kay

Bella Kay

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Slayyyter

Slayyyter

$73 Vol.

12%

icon for Jessie Murph

Jessie Murph

$102 Vol.

11%

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Sasha Keable

$122 Vol.

10%

icon for Model/Actriz

Model/Actriz

$122 Vol.

10%

icon for EsDeeKid

EsDeeKid

$82 Vol.

12%

icon for Dijon

Dijon

$82 Vol.

9%

icon for Mk.gee

Mk.gee

$82 Vol.

10%

icon for JADE

JADE

$102 Vol.

10%

icon for Magdalena Bay

Magdalena Bay

$82 Vol.

11%

icon for The Beaches

The Beaches

$82 Vol.

10%

icon for CMAT

CMAT

$102 Vol.

10%

icon for PARTYOF2

PARTYOF2

$82 Vol.

11%

icon for BigXthaPlug

BigXthaPlug

$102 Vol.

9%

icon for SAILORR

SAILORR

$102 Vol.

9%

icon for Jordan Ward

Jordan Ward

$102 Vol.

11%

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Yazmin Lacey

$102 Vol.

9%

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The Last Dinner Party

$102 Vol.

11%

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Skye Newman

$102 Vol.

10%

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Ninajirachi

$102 Vol.

10%

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Loe Shimmy

$82 Vol.

11%

icon for Black Country, New Road

Black Country, New Road

$82 Vol.

12%

icon for Oklou

Oklou

$82 Vol.

10%

icon for Nami

Nami

$82 Vol.

12%

icon for Geese

Geese

$33 Vol.

1%

icon for Renee Rapp

Renee Rapp

$32 Vol.

<1%

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.Ella Langley leads the Grammys 2027 Best New Artist market at 60% implied probability thanks to her dominant 2026 commercial breakthrough, including a Billboard 200-topping sophomore album *Dandelion* and the record-setting crossover single “Choosin’ Texas,” which achieved historic chart runs across the Hot 100, Hot Country Songs, and Country Airplay. A June 2026 Recording Academy rule change expanding eligibility submissions to four attempts removed prior barriers for Langley and similar artists, fueling strong trader consensus around her general-field momentum ahead of nominations on November 16. Sienna Spiro sits second at 23% on streaming and social metrics, while the crowded field of emerging acts trails significantly, though awards outcomes remain subject to voter sentiment shifts in the coming months.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$2,509
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.Ella Langley leads the Grammys 2027 Best New Artist market at 60% implied probability thanks to her dominant 2026 commercial breakthrough, including a Billboard 200-topping sophomore album *Dandelion* and the record-setting crossover single “Choosin’ Texas,” which achieved historic chart runs across the Hot 100, Hot Country Songs, and Country Airplay. A June 2026 Recording Academy rule change expanding eligibility submissions to four attempts removed prior barriers for Langley and similar artists, fueling strong trader consensus around her general-field momentum ahead of nominations on November 16. Sienna Spiro sits second at 23% on streaming and social metrics, while the crowded field of emerging acts trails significantly, though awards outcomes remain subject to voter sentiment shifts in the coming months.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$2,509
End Date
Feb 7, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Related

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Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

38%
icon for Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

29%
icon for Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

28%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ella Langley" at 56%, followed by "SIENNA SPIRO" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" is "Ella Langley" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SIENNA SPIRO" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.