MrBeast’s latest challenge video has built strong early momentum, with day-one and day-two view velocity placing the 51-53 million bracket as the clear trader favorite at 41.5% implied probability. Typical release patterns for his high-production competition videos show rapid accumulation in the first 72 hours driven by algorithmic promotion, subscriber notifications, and cross-platform sharing, often landing in the low-to-mid 50 millions by day three. The adjacent 53-55 million and 49-51 million brackets capture the remaining uncertainty around exact hourly growth rates, while higher and lower outcomes reflect limited conviction in outlier trajectories. Resolution hinges on the official YouTube view counter at the 72-hour mark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 3?
51-53M 53%
53-55M 21%
49-51M 18%
55-57M 11%
<47M
1%
47-49M
5%
49-51M
18%
51-53M
47%
53-55M
21%
55-57M
11%
57M+
4%
51-53M 53%
53-55M 21%
49-51M 18%
55-57M 11%
<47M
1%
47-49M
5%
49-51M
18%
51-53M
47%
53-55M
21%
55-57M
11%
57M+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest challenge video has built strong early momentum, with day-one and day-two view velocity placing the 51-53 million bracket as the clear trader favorite at 41.5% implied probability. Typical release patterns for his high-production competition videos show rapid accumulation in the first 72 hours driven by algorithmic promotion, subscriber notifications, and cross-platform sharing, often landing in the low-to-mid 50 millions by day three. The adjacent 53-55 million and 49-51 million brackets capture the remaining uncertainty around exact hourly growth rates, while higher and lower outcomes reflect limited conviction in outlier trajectories. Resolution hinges on the official YouTube view counter at the 72-hour mark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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