United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from Russia’s mixed electoral system, established administrative resources, and consistent single-mandate district strength that have historically converted moderate vote shares into large majorities. Recent party congresses approved a “People’s Program” focused on wage increases and social measures, with President Putin publicly endorsing the ticket; the party also prioritized nominating dozens of Ukraine war veterans and secured the top ballot position in most regions holding concurrent votes. State polls place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s, below its 2021 result, yet the combination of proportional-list dynamics, uncontested single-member candidacies, and exclusion of several smaller parties keeps trader consensus centered on outcomes near or modestly above the prior 324-seat total. Lower seat ranges remain discounted given the party’s structural position one month before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated325–339 41%
340–354 22%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 8%
$195,322 Vol.
$195,322 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
5%
310–324
19%
325–339
41%
340–354
22%
355+
8%
325–339 41%
340–354 22%
310–324 19.1%
355+ 8%
$195,322 Vol.
$195,322 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
$30,031 Vol.
3%
280–294
$17,814 Vol.
3%
295–309
$12,147 Vol.
5%
310–324
$15,516 Vol.
19%
325–339
$28,539 Vol.
41%
340–354
$49,831 Vol.
22%
355+
$41,444 Vol.
8%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from Russia’s mixed electoral system, established administrative resources, and consistent single-mandate district strength that have historically converted moderate vote shares into large majorities. Recent party congresses approved a “People’s Program” focused on wage increases and social measures, with President Putin publicly endorsing the ticket; the party also prioritized nominating dozens of Ukraine war veterans and secured the top ballot position in most regions holding concurrent votes. State polls place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s, below its 2021 result, yet the combination of proportional-list dynamics, uncontested single-member candidacies, and exclusion of several smaller parties keeps trader consensus centered on outcomes near or modestly above the prior 324-seat total. Lower seat ranges remain discounted given the party’s structural position one month before voting.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$195,322End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from Russia’s mixed electoral system, established administrative resources, and consistent single-mandate district strength that have historically converted moderate vote shares into large majorities. Recent party congresses approved a “People’s Program” focused on wage increases and social measures, with President Putin publicly endorsing the ticket; the party also prioritized nominating dozens of Ukraine war veterans and secured the top ballot position in most regions holding concurrent votes. State polls place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s, below its 2021 result, yet the combination of proportional-list dynamics, uncontested single-member candidacies, and exclusion of several smaller parties keeps trader consensus centered on outcomes near or modestly above the prior 324-seat total. Lower seat ranges remain discounted given the party’s structural position one month before voting.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$195,322End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefits from Russia’s mixed electoral system, established administrative resources, and consistent single-mandate district strength that have historically converted moderate vote shares into large majorities. Recent party congresses approved a “People’s Program” focused on wage increases and social measures, with President Putin publicly endorsing the ticket; the party also prioritized nominating dozens of Ukraine war veterans and secured the top ballot position in most regions holding concurrent votes. State polls place United Russia support in the low-to-mid 30s, below its 2021 result, yet the combination of proportional-list dynamics, uncontested single-member candidacies, and exclusion of several smaller parties keeps trader consensus centered on outcomes near or modestly above the prior 324-seat total. Lower seat ranges remain discounted given the party’s structural position one month before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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