Goldman Sachs holds a 57.5% implied probability of serving as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its established lead in large-scale technology offerings and recent mandate on the SpaceX deal. In June 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 and formally engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, with JPMorgan Chase also participating, setting the stage for a potential fall listing valued near or above $1 trillion. Traders price in Goldman’s edge from its superior market share in mega-IPOs and capacity to secure institutional allocations, while Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% reflects its comparable tech franchise but slightly weaker recent momentum. Lower probabilities for other banks align with their secondary roles in the syndicate. Key upcoming catalysts include final S-1 amendments and roadshow timing, which could clarify the lead designation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGoldman Sachs 57%
Morgan Stanley 21%
JPMorgan 3.6%
Bank of America <1%
$50,195 Vol.
$50,195 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
21%
Goldman Sachs
57%
JPMorgan
4%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 57%
Morgan Stanley 21%
JPMorgan 3.6%
Bank of America <1%
$50,195 Vol.
$50,195 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
$11,731 Vol.
21%
Goldman Sachs
$7,631 Vol.
57%
JPMorgan
$9,055 Vol.
4%
Bank of America
$4,289 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$2,784 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 57.5% implied probability of serving as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its established lead in large-scale technology offerings and recent mandate on the SpaceX deal. In June 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 and formally engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, with JPMorgan Chase also participating, setting the stage for a potential fall listing valued near or above $1 trillion. Traders price in Goldman’s edge from its superior market share in mega-IPOs and capacity to secure institutional allocations, while Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% reflects its comparable tech franchise but slightly weaker recent momentum. Lower probabilities for other banks align with their secondary roles in the syndicate. Key upcoming catalysts include final S-1 amendments and roadshow timing, which could clarify the lead designation.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$50,195End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 57.5% implied probability of serving as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its established lead in large-scale technology offerings and recent mandate on the SpaceX deal. In June 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 and formally engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, with JPMorgan Chase also participating, setting the stage for a potential fall listing valued near or above $1 trillion. Traders price in Goldman’s edge from its superior market share in mega-IPOs and capacity to secure institutional allocations, while Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% reflects its comparable tech franchise but slightly weaker recent momentum. Lower probabilities for other banks align with their secondary roles in the syndicate. Key upcoming catalysts include final S-1 amendments and roadshow timing, which could clarify the lead designation.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,195End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a 57.5% implied probability of serving as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, reflecting its established lead in large-scale technology offerings and recent mandate on the SpaceX deal. In June 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 and formally engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, with JPMorgan Chase also participating, setting the stage for a potential fall listing valued near or above $1 trillion. Traders price in Goldman’s edge from its superior market share in mega-IPOs and capacity to secure institutional allocations, while Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% reflects its comparable tech franchise but slightly weaker recent momentum. Lower probabilities for other banks align with their secondary roles in the syndicate. Key upcoming catalysts include final S-1 amendments and roadshow timing, which could clarify the lead designation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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