Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in this open-seat race stems from her decades of strong statewide performance as a U.S. senator, including repeated double-digit victories, broad appeal to independents, and unified DFL support after her decisive August 2026 primary win. The open contest follows incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek reelection amid scrutiny over state fraud issues, allowing Klobuchar to emphasize audits and fiscal management while maintaining her moderate profile. Lisa Demuth, the Republican nominee and House speaker who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary over Trump-endorsed Mike Lindell, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Republican governor since 2006. Recent polling shows Klobuchar ahead by roughly 8–19 points. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter trajectories before the November vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$69,345 Vol.
$69,345 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Amy Klobuchar (D)
95%
Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
$69,345 Vol.
$69,345 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Amy Klobuchar (D)
$32,198 Vol.
95%
Lisa Demuth (R)
$37,147 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in this open-seat race stems from her decades of strong statewide performance as a U.S. senator, including repeated double-digit victories, broad appeal to independents, and unified DFL support after her decisive August 2026 primary win. The open contest follows incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek reelection amid scrutiny over state fraud issues, allowing Klobuchar to emphasize audits and fiscal management while maintaining her moderate profile. Lisa Demuth, the Republican nominee and House speaker who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary over Trump-endorsed Mike Lindell, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Republican governor since 2006. Recent polling shows Klobuchar ahead by roughly 8–19 points. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter trajectories before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$69,345End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in this open-seat race stems from her decades of strong statewide performance as a U.S. senator, including repeated double-digit victories, broad appeal to independents, and unified DFL support after her decisive August 2026 primary win. The open contest follows incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek reelection amid scrutiny over state fraud issues, allowing Klobuchar to emphasize audits and fiscal management while maintaining her moderate profile. Lisa Demuth, the Republican nominee and House speaker who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary over Trump-endorsed Mike Lindell, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Republican governor since 2006. Recent polling shows Klobuchar ahead by roughly 8–19 points. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter trajectories before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$69,345End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in this open-seat race stems from her decades of strong statewide performance as a U.S. senator, including repeated double-digit victories, broad appeal to independents, and unified DFL support after her decisive August 2026 primary win. The open contest follows incumbent Tim Walz's decision not to seek reelection amid scrutiny over state fraud issues, allowing Klobuchar to emphasize audits and fiscal management while maintaining her moderate profile. Lisa Demuth, the Republican nominee and House speaker who prevailed in a competitive GOP primary over Trump-endorsed Mike Lindell, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Republican governor since 2006. Recent polling shows Klobuchar ahead by roughly 8–19 points. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter trajectories before the November vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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