Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? — Discussion

0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 · 2026-03-09T22:15:42.726Z

Discussion about Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

$6,837,831 Vol.

Oct 31, 2026

August 31

$452,352 Vol.

September 30

$293,912 Vol.

October 31

$20 Vol.

13%

December 31

$505,169 Vol.

27%

$6,837,831 Vol.

August 31

$452,352 Vol.

September 30

$293,912 Vol.

October 31

$20 Vol.

13%

December 31

$505,169 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

10%

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?

17%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

14%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 27%, followed by "October 31" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" has generated $6.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" is "December 31" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $6.8 million traded on “Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 27¢ for "December 31" in the "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 27% chance that "December 31" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 27¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 73¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" market has an active community of 417 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Note on Middle East Markets

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (417)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?

What are the current odds for "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?

How will "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?

What does a price of 27¢ for "December 31" mean?

When does the "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?"?

What is Polymarket?