Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his re-election in May 2026 for the third annual session of the 12th parliament, securing a strong majority of votes among the 290 members. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari faction lawmakers in June 2026 over his role in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding with the United States failed to gain traction, as internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents. Ghalibaf continues active leadership into August 2026, including high-level visits to Iraq for bilateral security and economic talks and public statements on sanctions, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional diplomacy amid the post-conflict environment after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death. Speaker elections occur annually in May, so any shift would require a parliamentary vote or internal coalition realignment before the next cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,186 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
16%
$49,186 Vol.
September 30
$7,442 Vol.
3%
December 31
$18,157 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his re-election in May 2026 for the third annual session of the 12th parliament, securing a strong majority of votes among the 290 members. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari faction lawmakers in June 2026 over his role in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding with the United States failed to gain traction, as internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents. Ghalibaf continues active leadership into August 2026, including high-level visits to Iraq for bilateral security and economic talks and public statements on sanctions, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional diplomacy amid the post-conflict environment after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death. Speaker elections occur annually in May, so any shift would require a parliamentary vote or internal coalition realignment before the next cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,186End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his re-election in May 2026 for the third annual session of the 12th parliament, securing a strong majority of votes among the 290 members. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari faction lawmakers in June 2026 over his role in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding with the United States failed to gain traction, as internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents. Ghalibaf continues active leadership into August 2026, including high-level visits to Iraq for bilateral security and economic talks and public statements on sanctions, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional diplomacy amid the post-conflict environment after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death. Speaker elections occur annually in May, so any shift would require a parliamentary vote or internal coalition realignment before the next cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,186End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his re-election in May 2026 for the third annual session of the 12th parliament, securing a strong majority of votes among the 290 members. Limited challenges from ultraconservative Paydari faction lawmakers in June 2026 over his role in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding with the United States failed to gain traction, as internal tallies showed fewer than 30 opponents. Ghalibaf continues active leadership into August 2026, including high-level visits to Iraq for bilateral security and economic talks and public statements on sanctions, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional diplomacy amid the post-conflict environment after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death. Speaker elections occur annually in May, so any shift would require a parliamentary vote or internal coalition realignment before the next cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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