Preseason projections for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff highlight Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Georgia, and Miami as leading contenders to reach the quarterfinal round in the 12-team format, driven by returning production, transfer portal hauls, and proven coaching staffs in power conferences. Big Ten and SEC depth, along with ACC and Big 12 contenders like Texas Tech and Indiana, shape early consensus around teams with elite quarterbacks, strong defenses, and favorable schedules. Recent ESPN and CBS Sports bowl projections reflect these factors through simulated brackets, while roster stability and strength-of-schedule considerations influence implied probabilities ahead of the late-August kickoff. Key variables include camp injury updates, early-season results that could shift committee rankings, and conference title races determining automatic bids.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNotre Dame
65%
Oregon
62%
Ohio St.
62%
Miami (FL)
55%
Georgia
54%
USC
48%
Texas
45%
Texas Tech
42%
Indiana
41%
Alabama
30%
Ole Miss
27%
Florida
27%
Texas A&M
27%
Arkansas
26%
BYU
25%
LSU
25%
North Carolina St.
25%
SMU
25%
TCU
25%
Tennessee
25%
Oklahoma
23%
Penn St.
21%
Virginia
19%
Louisville
16%
Michigan
16%
Auburn
8%
Missouri
8%
Iowa
7%
South Carolina
7%
Arizona
25%
Houston
6%
Tulane
6%
Utah
6%
Washington
6%
Illinois
5%
Miami (OH)
5%
North Texas
5%
Vanderbilt
5%
Florida St.
4%
Georgia Tech
4%
James Madison
4%
Kansas St.
4%
Virginia Tech
4%
Arizona St.
3%
Baylor
3%
California
3%
Oklahoma St.
3%
Pittsburgh
3%
Kentucky
3%
Clemson
52%
$765 Vol.
Notre Dame
65%
Oregon
62%
Ohio St.
62%
Miami (FL)
55%
Georgia
54%
USC
48%
Texas
45%
Texas Tech
42%
Indiana
41%
Alabama
30%
Ole Miss
27%
Florida
27%
Texas A&M
27%
Arkansas
26%
BYU
25%
LSU
25%
North Carolina St.
25%
SMU
25%
TCU
25%
Tennessee
25%
Oklahoma
23%
Penn St.
21%
Virginia
19%
Louisville
16%
Michigan
16%
Auburn
8%
Missouri
8%
Iowa
7%
South Carolina
7%
Arizona
25%
Houston
6%
Tulane
6%
Utah
6%
Washington
6%
Illinois
5%
Miami (OH)
5%
North Texas
5%
Vanderbilt
5%
Florida St.
4%
Georgia Tech
4%
James Madison
4%
Kansas St.
4%
Virginia Tech
4%
Arizona St.
3%
Baylor
3%
California
3%
Oklahoma St.
3%
Pittsburgh
3%
Kentucky
3%
Clemson
52%
The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game.
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game.
If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Preseason projections for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff highlight Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, Georgia, and Miami as leading contenders to reach the quarterfinal round in the 12-team format, driven by returning production, transfer portal hauls, and proven coaching staffs in power conferences. Big Ten and SEC depth, along with ACC and Big 12 contenders like Texas Tech and Indiana, shape early consensus around teams with elite quarterbacks, strong defenses, and favorable schedules. Recent ESPN and CBS Sports bowl projections reflect these factors through simulated brackets, while roster stability and strength-of-schedule considerations influence implied probabilities ahead of the late-August kickoff. Key variables include camp injury updates, early-season results that could shift committee rankings, and conference title races determining automatic bids.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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