Indiana enters 2026 as defending national champions after a 16-0 season under third-year head coach Curt Cignetti, but the Hoosiers face major roster turnover after sending multiple first-round NFL Draft picks, including Heisman-winning QB Fernando Mendoza, to the league. A strong transfer portal class headlined by QB Josh Hoover, WR Nick Marsh, and RB Turbo Richard has reloaded both sides, while the offensive and defensive lines return significant experience. The schedule offers three winnable non-conference home games before a Big Ten slate that includes a home rematch with preseason No. 1 Ohio State, road tests at Michigan and Washington, and favorable matchups against Northwestern, Minnesota, and Purdue. Preseason projections cluster around 10 wins, with models citing a No. 31-33 strength of schedule nationally and trader focus on Cignetti’s history of exceeding expectations amid the challenges of title defense.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.5+ Wins
91%
8.5+ Wins
73%
9.5+ Wins
66%
10.5+ Wins
47%
11.5+ Wins
19%
$920 Vol.
7.5+ Wins
91%
8.5+ Wins
73%
9.5+ Wins
66%
10.5+ Wins
47%
11.5+ Wins
19%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Indiana enters 2026 as defending national champions after a 16-0 season under third-year head coach Curt Cignetti, but the Hoosiers face major roster turnover after sending multiple first-round NFL Draft picks, including Heisman-winning QB Fernando Mendoza, to the league. A strong transfer portal class headlined by QB Josh Hoover, WR Nick Marsh, and RB Turbo Richard has reloaded both sides, while the offensive and defensive lines return significant experience. The schedule offers three winnable non-conference home games before a Big Ten slate that includes a home rematch with preseason No. 1 Ohio State, road tests at Michigan and Washington, and favorable matchups against Northwestern, Minnesota, and Purdue. Preseason projections cluster around 10 wins, with models citing a No. 31-33 strength of schedule nationally and trader focus on Cignetti’s history of exceeding expectations amid the challenges of title defense.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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