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Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader

Patrick Mahomes 11%

Drake Maye 11%

Lamar Jackson 10%

Brock Purdy 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Patrick Mahomes 11%

Drake Maye 11%

Lamar Jackson 10%

Brock Purdy 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Patrick Mahomes

$55 Vol.

11%

Drake Maye

$55 Vol.

11%

Lamar Jackson

$55 Vol.

10%

Brock Purdy

$0 Vol.

9%

Dak Prescott

$0 Vol.

8%

Jordan Love

$0 Vol.

8%

Josh Allen

$0 Vol.

7%

Matthew Stafford

$0 Vol.

7%

Joe Burrow

$0 Vol.

7%

OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders

$0 Vol.

7%

Justin Herbert

$50 Vol.

6%

Jayden Daniels

$50 Vol.

6%

Malik Willis

$0 Vol.

4%

Jared Goff

$0 Vol.

4%

C.J. Stroud

$0 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$27 Vol.

4%

Carson Beck

$55 Vol.

4%

Geno Smith

$0 Vol.

3%

Jaxson Dart

$0 Vol.

3%

Aaron Rodgers

$0 Vol.

3%

Daniel Jones

$0 Vol.

3%

Caleb Williams

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyler Murray

$0 Vol.

3%

Bo Nix

$0 Vol.

3%

JJ McCarthy

$0 Vol.

3%

Bryce Young

$0 Vol.

3%

Michael Penix Jr.

$0 Vol.

3%

Sam Darnold

$0 Vol.

3%

Shedeur Sanders

$0 Vol.

3%

Deshaun Watson

$0 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$0 Vol.

3%

Cam Ward

$0 Vol.

3%

Fernando Mendoza

$50 Vol.

3%

Tyler Shough

$0 Vol.

3%

Jacoby Brissett

$0 Vol.

3%

Kirk Cousins

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026-27 ESPN Total QBR leader market remains tightly bunched because no quarterback enters the season with a clear statistical or situational edge after a 2025 campaign defined by injuries and shifting team contexts.** Patrick Mahomes (11.0%) sits atop the field on name recognition and three-time Super Bowl pedigree, yet traders heavily discount his chances following a torn ACL/LCL that ended his season early and contributed to Kansas City’s 6-11 finish. Drake Maye (10.5%) and Lamar Jackson (10.0%) trail closely on the strength of Maye’s second-year leap—leading New England to the Super Bowl with league-leading efficiency metrics—and Jackson’s dual-threat consistency when healthy. Supporting factors include strong supporting casts and scheme familiarity for players like Brock Purdy, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Matthew Stafford (the 2025 MVP), while younger options such as Jordan Love, Jayden Daniels, and Caleb Williams add depth. Training-camp reports show Mahomes participating fully and appearing close to form roughly eight months post-surgery, with Maye and others receiving positive preseason evaluations, but the 17-game schedule, potential injuries, and offensive-line or receiver changes introduce substantial variance. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these low-single-digit implied probabilities underscores the league’s QB parity and the difficulty of projecting one player to top efficiency rankings over a full season.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026-27 ESPN Total QBR leader market remains tightly bunched because no quarterback enters the season with a clear statistical or situational edge after a 2025 campaign defined by injuries and shifting team contexts.** Patrick Mahomes (11.0%) sits atop the field on name recognition and three-time Super Bowl pedigree, yet traders heavily discount his chances following a torn ACL/LCL that ended his season early and contributed to Kansas City’s 6-11 finish. Drake Maye (10.5%) and Lamar Jackson (10.0%) trail closely on the strength of Maye’s second-year leap—leading New England to the Super Bowl with league-leading efficiency metrics—and Jackson’s dual-threat consistency when healthy. Supporting factors include strong supporting casts and scheme familiarity for players like Brock Purdy, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Matthew Stafford (the 2025 MVP), while younger options such as Jordan Love, Jayden Daniels, and Caleb Williams add depth. Training-camp reports show Mahomes participating fully and appearing close to form roughly eight months post-surgery, with Maye and others receiving positive preseason evaluations, but the 17-game schedule, potential injuries, and offensive-line or receiver changes introduce substantial variance. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these low-single-digit implied probabilities underscores the league’s QB parity and the difficulty of projecting one player to top efficiency rankings over a full season.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$397
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Patrick Mahomes" at 11%, followed by "Drake Maye" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" is "Patrick Mahomes" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Drake Maye" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.