**Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) since the June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County, Texas calf have prompted state disaster proclamations and intensified federal response measures, though no presidential national emergency has been declared.** USDA APHIS leads eradication via sterile insect technique releases (now exceeding 80 million flies weekly from expanded facilities), enhanced trapping, quarantines, and animal movement controls across affected Texas and New Mexico counties, where roughly 45 cases have been confirmed as of mid-August 2026. Regional context includes over 209,000 animal cases and 2,500 human cases reported across Mexico and Central America since the 2023 resurgence north of the Panama barrier. CDC assesses current U.S. public and livestock risk as very low with no locally acquired human cases, while FDA’s 2025 emergency use authorizations enable targeted treatments. Key upcoming milestones include phased southern port reopenings starting August 24, 2026, and ongoing model runs and surveillance updates that could influence any escalation to broader federal emergency authorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
August 30
42%
October 31
39%
December 31
45%
$1,442 Vol.
August 30
$61 Vol.
42%
October 31
$0 Vol.
39%
December 31
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) since the June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County, Texas calf have prompted state disaster proclamations and intensified federal response measures, though no presidential national emergency has been declared.** USDA APHIS leads eradication via sterile insect technique releases (now exceeding 80 million flies weekly from expanded facilities), enhanced trapping, quarantines, and animal movement controls across affected Texas and New Mexico counties, where roughly 45 cases have been confirmed as of mid-August 2026. Regional context includes over 209,000 animal cases and 2,500 human cases reported across Mexico and Central America since the 2023 resurgence north of the Panama barrier. CDC assesses current U.S. public and livestock risk as very low with no locally acquired human cases, while FDA’s 2025 emergency use authorizations enable targeted treatments. Key upcoming milestones include phased southern port reopenings starting August 24, 2026, and ongoing model runs and surveillance updates that could influence any escalation to broader federal emergency authorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,442End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) since the June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County, Texas calf have prompted state disaster proclamations and intensified federal response measures, though no presidential national emergency has been declared.** USDA APHIS leads eradication via sterile insect technique releases (now exceeding 80 million flies weekly from expanded facilities), enhanced trapping, quarantines, and animal movement controls across affected Texas and New Mexico counties, where roughly 45 cases have been confirmed as of mid-August 2026. Regional context includes over 209,000 animal cases and 2,500 human cases reported across Mexico and Central America since the 2023 resurgence north of the Panama barrier. CDC assesses current U.S. public and livestock risk as very low with no locally acquired human cases, while FDA’s 2025 emergency use authorizations enable targeted treatments. Key upcoming milestones include phased southern port reopenings starting August 24, 2026, and ongoing model runs and surveillance updates that could influence any escalation to broader federal emergency authorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,442End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S. detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) since the June 3, 2026, confirmation in a Zavala County, Texas calf have prompted state disaster proclamations and intensified federal response measures, though no presidential national emergency has been declared.** USDA APHIS leads eradication via sterile insect technique releases (now exceeding 80 million flies weekly from expanded facilities), enhanced trapping, quarantines, and animal movement controls across affected Texas and New Mexico counties, where roughly 45 cases have been confirmed as of mid-August 2026. Regional context includes over 209,000 animal cases and 2,500 human cases reported across Mexico and Central America since the 2023 resurgence north of the Panama barrier. CDC assesses current U.S. public and livestock risk as very low with no locally acquired human cases, while FDA’s 2025 emergency use authorizations enable targeted treatments. Key upcoming milestones include phased southern port reopenings starting August 24, 2026, and ongoing model runs and surveillance updates that could influence any escalation to broader federal emergency authorities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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