Örebropartiet, a regional populist party with seats in Örebro municipal and county councils, is contesting the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election for the first time. Its strategy centers on clearing the 12% constituency threshold in Örebro län to secure one seat without meeting the national 4% barrier. Local support has grown, including an 18.4% municipal poll result in Örebro city earlier in 2026, yet no public constituency-wide surveys show the party approaching 12% across the full valkrets. National polling places Örebropartiet well below 3% overall, with attention focused on the major blocs led by the Social Democrats and the Tidö government parties. Historical precedent shows no prior success via the 12% rule, and the limited time before election day plus the structural requirement for concentrated county-level gains sustain trader expectations that no seats will be won.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated32% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
32% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Örebropartiet, a regional populist party with seats in Örebro municipal and county councils, is contesting the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election for the first time. Its strategy centers on clearing the 12% constituency threshold in Örebro län to secure one seat without meeting the national 4% barrier. Local support has grown, including an 18.4% municipal poll result in Örebro city earlier in 2026, yet no public constituency-wide surveys show the party approaching 12% across the full valkrets. National polling places Örebropartiet well below 3% overall, with attention focused on the major blocs led by the Social Democrats and the Tidö government parties. Historical precedent shows no prior success via the 12% rule, and the limited time before election day plus the structural requirement for concentrated county-level gains sustain trader expectations that no seats will be won.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Örebropartiet, a regional populist party with seats in Örebro municipal and county councils, is contesting the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election for the first time. Its strategy centers on clearing the 12% constituency threshold in Örebro län to secure one seat without meeting the national 4% barrier. Local support has grown, including an 18.4% municipal poll result in Örebro city earlier in 2026, yet no public constituency-wide surveys show the party approaching 12% across the full valkrets. National polling places Örebropartiet well below 3% overall, with attention focused on the major blocs led by the Social Democrats and the Tidö government parties. Historical precedent shows no prior success via the 12% rule, and the limited time before election day plus the structural requirement for concentrated county-level gains sustain trader expectations that no seats will be won.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Örebropartiet receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to Örebropartiet. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If Örebropartiet formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Örebropartiet in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$10End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Örebropartiet, a regional populist party with seats in Örebro municipal and county councils, is contesting the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election for the first time. Its strategy centers on clearing the 12% constituency threshold in Örebro län to secure one seat without meeting the national 4% barrier. Local support has grown, including an 18.4% municipal poll result in Örebro city earlier in 2026, yet no public constituency-wide surveys show the party approaching 12% across the full valkrets. National polling places Örebropartiet well below 3% overall, with attention focused on the major blocs led by the Social Democrats and the Tidö government parties. Historical precedent shows no prior success via the 12% rule, and the limited time before election day plus the structural requirement for concentrated county-level gains sustain trader expectations that no seats will be won.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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