Recent developments show indirect US-Iran technical talks, mediated primarily by Qatar and Oman with Pakistan involvement, continuing into early August 2026 but marked by deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz, frozen assets, and nuclear issues. President Trump has publicly asserted that negotiations remain active despite Iranian statements denying immediate plans for direct engagement, while Qatari officials confirmed ongoing progress on implementing prior interim understandings. High-level direct attendance has not occurred in recent rounds, with prior sessions limited to lower-level or mediated formats in Doha, Switzerland, and Islamabad. With the August 31 window closing amid mixed signals and no confirmed new round, trader focus centers on whether mediators can convene another session or if direct participation by US or Iranian officials materializes before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$95,864 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
7%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$95,864 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
7%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,245 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,643 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,059 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$6,525 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,634 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$650 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$692 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments show indirect US-Iran technical talks, mediated primarily by Qatar and Oman with Pakistan involvement, continuing into early August 2026 but marked by deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz, frozen assets, and nuclear issues. President Trump has publicly asserted that negotiations remain active despite Iranian statements denying immediate plans for direct engagement, while Qatari officials confirmed ongoing progress on implementing prior interim understandings. High-level direct attendance has not occurred in recent rounds, with prior sessions limited to lower-level or mediated formats in Doha, Switzerland, and Islamabad. With the August 31 window closing amid mixed signals and no confirmed new round, trader focus centers on whether mediators can convene another session or if direct participation by US or Iranian officials materializes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$95,864End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments show indirect US-Iran technical talks, mediated primarily by Qatar and Oman with Pakistan involvement, continuing into early August 2026 but marked by deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz, frozen assets, and nuclear issues. President Trump has publicly asserted that negotiations remain active despite Iranian statements denying immediate plans for direct engagement, while Qatari officials confirmed ongoing progress on implementing prior interim understandings. High-level direct attendance has not occurred in recent rounds, with prior sessions limited to lower-level or mediated formats in Doha, Switzerland, and Islamabad. With the August 31 window closing amid mixed signals and no confirmed new round, trader focus centers on whether mediators can convene another session or if direct participation by US or Iranian officials materializes before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$95,864End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show indirect US-Iran technical talks, mediated primarily by Qatar and Oman with Pakistan involvement, continuing into early August 2026 but marked by deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz, frozen assets, and nuclear issues. President Trump has publicly asserted that negotiations remain active despite Iranian statements denying immediate plans for direct engagement, while Qatari officials confirmed ongoing progress on implementing prior interim understandings. High-level direct attendance has not occurred in recent rounds, with prior sessions limited to lower-level or mediated formats in Doha, Switzerland, and Islamabad. With the August 31 window closing amid mixed signals and no confirmed new round, trader focus centers on whether mediators can convene another session or if direct participation by US or Iranian officials materializes before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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