US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical discussions, primarily via Oman, over reopening the Strait of Hormuz and related ceasefire terms following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, President Trump has publicly asserted that broader talks are underway and described the period as a final window, while Iranian spokespeople have denied direct negotiations and issued additional demands for reparations and sanctions relief. Positions have hardened with new conditions exchanged on both sides, including compensation claims and limits on nuclear activities. High-level U.S. figures such as Vice President Vance and Secretary Rubio have referenced ongoing channels, but no new round of formal peace talks has been scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Developments in the next week, including any mediated sessions or official statements, will determine whether attendance occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$95,945 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
3%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$95,945 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,245 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
1%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,059 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,643 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$650 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,640 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$6,555 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$692 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical discussions, primarily via Oman, over reopening the Strait of Hormuz and related ceasefire terms following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, President Trump has publicly asserted that broader talks are underway and described the period as a final window, while Iranian spokespeople have denied direct negotiations and issued additional demands for reparations and sanctions relief. Positions have hardened with new conditions exchanged on both sides, including compensation claims and limits on nuclear activities. High-level U.S. figures such as Vice President Vance and Secretary Rubio have referenced ongoing channels, but no new round of formal peace talks has been scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Developments in the next week, including any mediated sessions or official statements, will determine whether attendance occurs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$95,945End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical discussions, primarily via Oman, over reopening the Strait of Hormuz and related ceasefire terms following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, President Trump has publicly asserted that broader talks are underway and described the period as a final window, while Iranian spokespeople have denied direct negotiations and issued additional demands for reparations and sanctions relief. Positions have hardened with new conditions exchanged on both sides, including compensation claims and limits on nuclear activities. High-level U.S. figures such as Vice President Vance and Secretary Rubio have referenced ongoing channels, but no new round of formal peace talks has been scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Developments in the next week, including any mediated sessions or official statements, will determine whether attendance occurs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$95,945End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on indirect technical discussions, primarily via Oman, over reopening the Strait of Hormuz and related ceasefire terms following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum. As of mid-August, President Trump has publicly asserted that broader talks are underway and described the period as a final window, while Iranian spokespeople have denied direct negotiations and issued additional demands for reparations and sanctions relief. Positions have hardened with new conditions exchanged on both sides, including compensation claims and limits on nuclear activities. High-level U.S. figures such as Vice President Vance and Secretary Rubio have referenced ongoing channels, but no new round of formal peace talks has been scheduled before the August 31 cutoff. Developments in the next week, including any mediated sessions or official statements, will determine whether attendance occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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