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Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
Politics·Israel

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

$348,708 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$348,708 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$2,052 Vol.

2%

September 30

$106,609 Vol.

93%

December 31

$86,130 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans to attend the UN General Assembly high-level week in New York, with a scheduled address on September 24, 2026, after the slot was adjusted to accommodate the Jewish holiday calendar. Israeli officials, including the UN ambassador, have reiterated the prime minister will deliver remarks despite an ICC arrest warrant and statements from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani questioning his welcome and exploring enforcement options. US President Donald Trump has stated that Netanyahu will not face arrest on US soil. These diplomatic signals, combined with longstanding precedent of annual UNGA participation and ongoing bilateral meetings, shape trader assessments of visit likelihood ahead of the late September timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,708
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Netanyahu has publicly confirmed plans to attend the UN General Assembly high-level week in New York, with a scheduled address on September 24, 2026, after the slot was adjusted to accommodate the Jewish holiday calendar. Israeli officials, including the UN ambassador, have reiterated the prime minister will deliver remarks despite an ICC arrest warrant and statements from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani questioning his welcome and exploring enforcement options. US President Donald Trump has stated that Netanyahu will not face arrest on US soil. These diplomatic signals, combined with longstanding precedent of annual UNGA participation and ongoing bilateral meetings, shape trader assessments of visit likelihood ahead of the late September timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,708
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island. Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify. Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 96%, followed by "September 30" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?" has generated $348.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?" is "December 31" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.