Trader sentiment on the #1 searched passing in Google's 2026 US Year in Search remains fragmented, with dozens of options at 50% implied probability reflecting sustained uncertainty. Oliver Tree leads at 32.5% after his June helicopter crash in Brazil generated sustained queries, ahead of Chuck Norris at 25.5%, while lower-odds names like Lindsey Graham and recent deaths including Sam Neill, Bonnie Tyler, and Hayden Panettiere produced only localized spikes. A steady stream of notable passings throughout the year, combined with Google's ranking algorithms and result volatility, has prevented any single figure from dominating search volume. Resolution hinges on the official end-of-year list, leaving room for late catalysts to shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOliver Tree 33%
Chuck Norris 26%
Lindsey Graham 7.1%
Kyle Busch 6%
$55,658 Vol.
$55,658 Vol.

Oliver Tree
33%

Chuck Norris
26%

Lindsey Graham
7%

Kyle Busch
6%

Ali Khamenei
5%

Renée Good
4%

Catherine O'Hara
1%

Victor Willis
1%

Clive Davis
1%

Bonnie Tyler
1%

David Hockney
1%

Alex Pretti
1%

Eric Dane
1%

Jesse Jackson
1%

Nicholas Brendon
1%

Alan Greenspan
1%

Bob Weir
<1%

Scott Adams
<1%

Robert Duvall
<1%

Sam Neill
<1%

Valentino Garavani
<1%

James Van Der Beek
<1%

Ted Turner
<1%
Oliver Tree 33%
Chuck Norris 26%
Lindsey Graham 7.1%
Kyle Busch 6%
$55,658 Vol.
$55,658 Vol.

Oliver Tree
33%

Chuck Norris
26%

Lindsey Graham
7%

Kyle Busch
6%

Ali Khamenei
5%

Renée Good
4%

Catherine O'Hara
1%

Victor Willis
1%

Clive Davis
1%

Bonnie Tyler
1%

David Hockney
1%

Alex Pretti
1%

Eric Dane
1%

Jesse Jackson
1%

Nicholas Brendon
1%

Alan Greenspan
1%

Bob Weir
<1%

Scott Adams
<1%

Robert Duvall
<1%

Sam Neill
<1%

Valentino Garavani
<1%

James Van Der Beek
<1%

Ted Turner
<1%
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the #1 searched passing in Google's 2026 US Year in Search remains fragmented, with dozens of options at 50% implied probability reflecting sustained uncertainty. Oliver Tree leads at 32.5% after his June helicopter crash in Brazil generated sustained queries, ahead of Chuck Norris at 25.5%, while lower-odds names like Lindsey Graham and recent deaths including Sam Neill, Bonnie Tyler, and Hayden Panettiere produced only localized spikes. A steady stream of notable passings throughout the year, combined with Google's ranking algorithms and result volatility, has prevented any single figure from dominating search volume. Resolution hinges on the official end-of-year list, leaving room for late catalysts to shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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