Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pretrial proceedings on attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. Defense counsel has emphasized a self-defense claim amid conflicting accounts of the confrontation, while the case advanced to the grand jury after bond hearings that highlighted public-safety concerns but ultimately allowed his recent release on $1 million bond. With no trial date set and the matter still in early discovery and motion stages as of late August 2026, traders assign an 86.5% implied probability against conviction, reflecting the lengthy timeline typical of serious felony cases, potential for plea negotiations, and historical outcomes where self-defense arguments or procedural delays frequently prevent guilty verdicts. Upcoming grand-jury actions or preliminary motions represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated14% chance
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2027
14% chance
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pretrial proceedings on attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. Defense counsel has emphasized a self-defense claim amid conflicting accounts of the confrontation, while the case advanced to the grand jury after bond hearings that highlighted public-safety concerns but ultimately allowed his recent release on $1 million bond. With no trial date set and the matter still in early discovery and motion stages as of late August 2026, traders assign an 86.5% implied probability against conviction, reflecting the lengthy timeline typical of serious felony cases, potential for plea negotiations, and historical outcomes where self-defense arguments or procedural delays frequently prevent guilty verdicts. Upcoming grand-jury actions or preliminary motions represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Volume
$950End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pretrial proceedings on attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. Defense counsel has emphasized a self-defense claim amid conflicting accounts of the confrontation, while the case advanced to the grand jury after bond hearings that highlighted public-safety concerns but ultimately allowed his recent release on $1 million bond. With no trial date set and the matter still in early discovery and motion stages as of late August 2026, traders assign an 86.5% implied probability against conviction, reflecting the lengthy timeline typical of serious felony cases, potential for plea negotiations, and historical outcomes where self-defense arguments or procedural delays frequently prevent guilty verdicts. Upcoming grand-jury actions or preliminary motions represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$950End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pretrial proceedings on attempted murder and related felony charges stemming from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee. Defense counsel has emphasized a self-defense claim amid conflicting accounts of the confrontation, while the case advanced to the grand jury after bond hearings that highlighted public-safety concerns but ultimately allowed his recent release on $1 million bond. With no trial date set and the matter still in early discovery and motion stages as of late August 2026, traders assign an 86.5% implied probability against conviction, reflecting the lengthy timeline typical of serious felony cases, potential for plea negotiations, and historical outcomes where self-defense arguments or procedural delays frequently prevent guilty verdicts. Upcoming grand-jury actions or preliminary motions represent the next near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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