Dalton Eatherly, the rage-baiting livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder and related firearm charges stemming from a May 2026 shooting outside a Tennessee courthouse, plus separate theft and disorderly conduct counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Traders assign only a 13.5% chance of conviction primarily because he posted bond in mid-August 2026 and remains free while the cases move slowly through grand jury review, with no trial dates set. The market reflects typical delays in felony prosecutions, questions around evidence and self-defense claims in the shooting, and the extended timeline before any resolution, despite the severity of the allegations. Upcoming catalysts include any indictment decisions or preliminary hearings that could shift momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly, the rage-baiting livestreamer known as Chud the Builder, faces attempted murder and related firearm charges stemming from a May 2026 shooting outside a Tennessee courthouse, plus separate theft and disorderly conduct counts from a Nashville restaurant incident. Traders assign only a 13.5% chance of conviction primarily because he posted bond in mid-August 2026 and remains free while the cases move slowly through grand jury review, with no trial dates set. The market reflects typical delays in felony prosecutions, questions around evidence and self-defense claims in the shooting, and the extended timeline before any resolution, despite the severity of the allegations. Upcoming catalysts include any indictment decisions or preliminary hearings that could shift momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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