**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces serious felony charges including attempted murder from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but remains unconvicted as the case advances through pretrial stages.** The 86.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects the early phase of proceedings: Eatherly was released on a reduced $1 million bond in early August after nearly three months in custody, with the matter transferred to criminal court and a grand jury review underway. Separate Nashville misdemeanors (theft of services, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest) from a May restaurant incident were also resolved via bond. While prosecutors allege he fired multiple shots during a confrontation, defense arguments around self-defense and the incident’s livestreamed context introduce uncertainty typical of high-stakes criminal cases. Traders weigh the time required for full discovery, plea negotiations, or trial against the presumption of innocence, with no imminent resolution date shifting sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment or hearing outcomes that could clarify trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated14% chance
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2027
14% chance
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2027
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces serious felony charges including attempted murder from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but remains unconvicted as the case advances through pretrial stages.** The 86.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects the early phase of proceedings: Eatherly was released on a reduced $1 million bond in early August after nearly three months in custody, with the matter transferred to criminal court and a grand jury review underway. Separate Nashville misdemeanors (theft of services, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest) from a May restaurant incident were also resolved via bond.
While prosecutors allege he fired multiple shots during a confrontation, defense arguments around self-defense and the incident’s livestreamed context introduce uncertainty typical of high-stakes criminal cases. Traders weigh the time required for full discovery, plea negotiations, or trial against the presumption of innocence, with no imminent resolution date shifting sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment or hearing outcomes that could clarify trajectory.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Volume
$950End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces serious felony charges including attempted murder from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but remains unconvicted as the case advances through pretrial stages.** The 86.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects the early phase of proceedings: Eatherly was released on a reduced $1 million bond in early August after nearly three months in custody, with the matter transferred to criminal court and a grand jury review underway. Separate Nashville misdemeanors (theft of services, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest) from a May restaurant incident were also resolved via bond.
While prosecutors allege he fired multiple shots during a confrontation, defense arguments around self-defense and the incident’s livestreamed context introduce uncertainty typical of high-stakes criminal cases. Traders weigh the time required for full discovery, plea negotiations, or trial against the presumption of innocence, with no imminent resolution date shifting sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment or hearing outcomes that could clarify trajectory.
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder, among other charges by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$950End Date
Jul 31, 2027Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces serious felony charges including attempted murder from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but remains unconvicted as the case advances through pretrial stages.** The 86.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects the early phase of proceedings: Eatherly was released on a reduced $1 million bond in early August after nearly three months in custody, with the matter transferred to criminal court and a grand jury review underway. Separate Nashville misdemeanors (theft of services, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest) from a May restaurant incident were also resolved via bond. While prosecutors allege he fired multiple shots during a confrontation, defense arguments around self-defense and the incident’s livestreamed context introduce uncertainty typical of high-stakes criminal cases. Traders weigh the time required for full discovery, plea negotiations, or trial against the presumption of innocence, with no imminent resolution date shifting sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment or hearing outcomes that could clarify trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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