Colman Domingo leads the market-implied odds at 39% for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, buoyed by his prior win in the category and strong critical reception for his Euphoria episode. Trader consensus positions Bradley Whitford at 24% as a credible challenger through his established industry profile and The Diplomat performance. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober, the latter a self-submitted first-time nominee—split support at roughly 9% each amid the show’s broader awards momentum. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony approaching, recent panel discussions and voter sentiment around guest arcs in high-profile dramas continue to shape positioning, though the category’s historical unpredictability leaves room for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 37%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 23.6%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 9.2%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 9.0%
$67,751 Vol.
$67,751 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
37%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
24%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
9%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
9%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
6%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
5%
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 37%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 23.6%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 9.2%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 9.0%
$67,751 Vol.
$67,751 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
$41,510 Vol.
37%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
$6,171 Vol.
24%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
$4,695 Vol.
9%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
$10,011 Vol.
9%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
$3,563 Vol.
6%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
$1,802 Vol.
5%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo leads the market-implied odds at 39% for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, buoyed by his prior win in the category and strong critical reception for his Euphoria episode. Trader consensus positions Bradley Whitford at 24% as a credible challenger through his established industry profile and The Diplomat performance. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober, the latter a self-submitted first-time nominee—split support at roughly 9% each amid the show’s broader awards momentum. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony approaching, recent panel discussions and voter sentiment around guest arcs in high-profile dramas continue to shape positioning, though the category’s historical unpredictability leaves room for shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$67,751End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo leads the market-implied odds at 39% for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, buoyed by his prior win in the category and strong critical reception for his Euphoria episode. Trader consensus positions Bradley Whitford at 24% as a credible challenger through his established industry profile and The Diplomat performance. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober, the latter a self-submitted first-time nominee—split support at roughly 9% each amid the show’s broader awards momentum. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony approaching, recent panel discussions and voter sentiment around guest arcs in high-profile dramas continue to shape positioning, though the category’s historical unpredictability leaves room for shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$67,751End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colman Domingo leads the market-implied odds at 39% for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, buoyed by his prior win in the category and strong critical reception for his Euphoria episode. Trader consensus positions Bradley Whitford at 24% as a credible challenger through his established industry profile and The Diplomat performance. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober, the latter a self-submitted first-time nominee—split support at roughly 9% each amid the show’s broader awards momentum. With nominations locked in July and the ceremony approaching, recent panel discussions and voter sentiment around guest arcs in high-profile dramas continue to shape positioning, though the category’s historical unpredictability leaves room for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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