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icon for America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?

America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?

icon for America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?

America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?

$21,621 Vol.

Sep 16, 2026
Polymarket

$21,621 Vol.

Polymarket
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Nene Royal

$2,259 Vol.

98%

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Olivia Befus

$262 Vol.

98%

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Royal Lasers

$2,048 Vol.

75%

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Akira

$1,146 Vol.

59%

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Rubén Roldán Bustos

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60%

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Daniel Alvarez

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55%

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LaRussell

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55%

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Travis Garland

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55%

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Young & Strange

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53%

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Veronika Goroshkova

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48%

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Patrox

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50%

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Tyrone and Margo

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Holland and Sienna

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Béty

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Herwan Legaillard

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Kameron Marshall

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Brad and Tracy

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Brook Lynn

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Ashford Sanders

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Sando

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Bird & Byron

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Jesse White Tumbling Team

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2%

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The CommUNITY ATL Choir

$1,407 Vol.

<1%

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Cris Sosa

$633 Vol.

<1%

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Cameron Logsdon

$140 Vol.

54%

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Cesar Dias

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46%

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Luke Taleno

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50%

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Mackenzie Sol

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Unitree

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Butter & Grit

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51%

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Come Here

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Elsie

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Geno Ploeger

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49%

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Guy Kelton Jones I

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Hundred Fingers

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Isaac Atkins

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Lai Noelle

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57%

America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.America’s Got Talent Season 21 quarterfinals opened with the first of four live performance nights on August 18, where public voting via the NBC app, website, and TikTok determined three semifinalists alongside one live Golden Buzzer. Howie Mandel’s selection of magician group Hundred Fingers sent them straight to the finals, while dog trainer Olivia Befus, light-up dance trio Royal Lasers, and rapper Luke Taleno advanced on viewer votes, highlighting the edge held by distinctive or high-energy acts. The next round airs August 25 featuring 11 more competitors, including singer Bety and danger duo Brad & Tracy, with additional live Golden Buzzers and results shows shaping the path to the September semifinals. Trader sentiment tracks performance reception, act category appeal, and momentum from early eliminations like comedian Cris Sosa.

America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered.

An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing.

If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$21,621
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 4:57 AM ET
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.America’s Got Talent Season 21 quarterfinals opened with the first of four live performance nights on August 18, where public voting via the NBC app, website, and TikTok determined three semifinalists alongside one live Golden Buzzer. Howie Mandel’s selection of magician group Hundred Fingers sent them straight to the finals, while dog trainer Olivia Befus, light-up dance trio Royal Lasers, and rapper Luke Taleno advanced on viewer votes, highlighting the edge held by distinctive or high-energy acts. The next round airs August 25 featuring 11 more competitors, including singer Bety and danger duo Brad & Tracy, with additional live Golden Buzzers and results shows shaping the path to the September semifinals. Trader sentiment tracks performance reception, act category appeal, and momentum from early eliminations like comedian Cris Sosa.

America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered.

An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing.

If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$21,621
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 4:57 AM ET
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nene Royal" at 98%, followed by "Olivia Befus" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?" has generated $21.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?" is "Nene Royal" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Befus" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.