Harrison Ford leads the Emmys 2026 Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series market at 40.5% implied probability due to his career-highlight turn as the vulnerable therapist Paul in Shrinking’s third season, amplified by the show’s multiple nods and the long-overdue sentiment around his first competitive Emmy. Stephen Root sits at 27.5% on the strength of Widow’s Bay’s breakout 19-nomination debut season and his connective performance as Wyck in the Apple TV+ horror-comedy. Paul W. Downs (13.3%) benefits from Hacks’ final-season record of 24 nods but faces dilution in a crowded field, while Colman Domingo, Nick Offerman, Michael Urie, and Tyler James Williams trail amid weaker individual momentum. Nominations were announced in early July, with the September 14 ceremony as the key remaining catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” 41%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” 28%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” 13.7%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons” 4.5%
$35,792 Vol.
$35,792 Vol.
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking”
41%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay”
28%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks”
14%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons”
4%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
3%
Michael Urie – “Shrinking”
2%
Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” 41%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” 28%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” 13.7%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons” 4.5%
$35,792 Vol.
$35,792 Vol.
Harrison Ford – “Shrinking”
41%
Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay”
28%
Paul W. Downs – “Hacks”
14%
Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons”
4%
Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
3%
Michael Urie – “Shrinking”
2%
Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Harrison Ford leads the Emmys 2026 Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series market at 40.5% implied probability due to his career-highlight turn as the vulnerable therapist Paul in Shrinking’s third season, amplified by the show’s multiple nods and the long-overdue sentiment around his first competitive Emmy. Stephen Root sits at 27.5% on the strength of Widow’s Bay’s breakout 19-nomination debut season and his connective performance as Wyck in the Apple TV+ horror-comedy. Paul W. Downs (13.3%) benefits from Hacks’ final-season record of 24 nods but faces dilution in a crowded field, while Colman Domingo, Nick Offerman, Michael Urie, and Tyler James Williams trail amid weaker individual momentum. Nominations were announced in early July, with the September 14 ceremony as the key remaining catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions