Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the quirky Patricia in Apple TV+’s horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status, fueled by the series’ record 19 Emmy nominations as the year’s most-nominated newcomer and strong guild and critics’ momentum. The late-spring release generated fresh voter enthusiasm for its ensemble, positioning the first-time nominee ahead of defending champion Hannah Einbinder of “Hacks,” whose fifth nomination and the show’s historic 24 nods reflect sustained industry regard but face headwinds from a final-season campaign and potential vote splitting with co-star Megan Stalter. Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and supporting players from “Abbott Elementary” and “Shrinking” trail amid the competitive field. With final voting underway ahead of the September ceremony, O’Flynn’s narrative as the season’s standout debut remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 66.0%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 5.0%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 4.3%
$20,884 Vol.
$20,884 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
66%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
5%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
4%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
3%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
<1%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 66.0%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 5.0%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 4.3%
$20,884 Vol.
$20,884 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
66%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
5%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
4%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
3%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the quirky Patricia in Apple TV+’s horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status, fueled by the series’ record 19 Emmy nominations as the year’s most-nominated newcomer and strong guild and critics’ momentum. The late-spring release generated fresh voter enthusiasm for its ensemble, positioning the first-time nominee ahead of defending champion Hannah Einbinder of “Hacks,” whose fifth nomination and the show’s historic 24 nods reflect sustained industry regard but face headwinds from a final-season campaign and potential vote splitting with co-star Megan Stalter. Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and supporting players from “Abbott Elementary” and “Shrinking” trail amid the competitive field. With final voting underway ahead of the September ceremony, O’Flynn’s narrative as the season’s standout debut remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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