The Pitt’s commanding 90.5% implied probability reflects its status as the clear repeat frontrunner after claiming the 2025 drama series Emmy for its debut season. Its sophomore run earned a leading 25 nominations, widespread critical praise for its medical procedural intensity and ensemble work led by Noah Wyle, plus strong industry momentum from guild and critics’ support. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders see limited room for challengers like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses to surge unless late voter fatigue or a surprise guild upset materializes. A more competitive field would require one of the lower-odds contenders to demonstrate exceptional late momentum in precursors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
“The Pitt” 91%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 5.1%
“Slow Horses” 3.8%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.8%
$18,720 Vol.
$18,720 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
91%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
5%
“Slow Horses”
4%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
“The Gilded Age”
2%
“Paradise”
1%
“The Pitt” 91%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 5.1%
“Slow Horses” 3.8%
“Your Friends & Neighbors” 1.8%
$18,720 Vol.
$18,720 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
$13,458 Vol.
91%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
$561 Vol.
5%
“Slow Horses”
$1,857 Vol.
4%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
$700 Vol.
2%
"The Diplomat"
$664 Vol.
2%
“The Gilded Age”
$730 Vol.
2%
“Paradise”
$750 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 90.5% implied probability reflects its status as the clear repeat frontrunner after claiming the 2025 drama series Emmy for its debut season. Its sophomore run earned a leading 25 nominations, widespread critical praise for its medical procedural intensity and ensemble work led by Noah Wyle, plus strong industry momentum from guild and critics’ support. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders see limited room for challengers like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses to surge unless late voter fatigue or a surprise guild upset materializes. A more competitive field would require one of the lower-odds contenders to demonstrate exceptional late momentum in precursors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$18,720End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 90.5% implied probability reflects its status as the clear repeat frontrunner after claiming the 2025 drama series Emmy for its debut season. Its sophomore run earned a leading 25 nominations, widespread critical praise for its medical procedural intensity and ensemble work led by Noah Wyle, plus strong industry momentum from guild and critics’ support. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders see limited room for challengers like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses to surge unless late voter fatigue or a surprise guild upset materializes. A more competitive field would require one of the lower-odds contenders to demonstrate exceptional late momentum in precursors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,720End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 90.5% implied probability reflects its status as the clear repeat frontrunner after claiming the 2025 drama series Emmy for its debut season. Its sophomore run earned a leading 25 nominations, widespread critical praise for its medical procedural intensity and ensemble work led by Noah Wyle, plus strong industry momentum from guild and critics’ support. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders see limited room for challengers like A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms or Slow Horses to surge unless late voter fatigue or a surprise guild upset materializes. A more competitive field would require one of the lower-odds contenders to demonstrate exceptional late momentum in precursors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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