Linda Cardellini leads the Emmys 2026 supporting actress limited/anthology category with 74.5% implied probability thanks to the critical and awards momentum behind HBO Max’s “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 nominations including limited series and multiple acting nods after its March 2026 premiere. The dark comedy’s ensemble strength, strong reviews, and recent Astra TV Awards recognition for Cardellini have consolidated trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of final voting that closes August 26. Youn Yuh-jung’s 9.8% share reflects “Beef” Season 2’s 16 nominations and her first Emmy nod, while the remaining contenders—Constance Zimmer, Dakota Fanning, Laurie Metcalf, and Joy Sunday—trail amid thinner overall buzz for their respective projects. The September 14 ceremony will test whether the current market-implied odds hold through late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” 75%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” 9.8%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” 4.9%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault” 4.0%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis”
75%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef”
10%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette”
5%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault”
4%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
4%
Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis”
1%
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” 75%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef” 9.8%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette” 4.9%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault” 4.0%
$36,181 Vol.
$36,181 Vol.
Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis”
75%
Youn Yuh-jung – “Beef”
10%
Constance Zimmer – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette”
5%
Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault”
4%
Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
4%
Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Linda Cardellini leads the Emmys 2026 supporting actress limited/anthology category with 74.5% implied probability thanks to the critical and awards momentum behind HBO Max’s “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 nominations including limited series and multiple acting nods after its March 2026 premiere. The dark comedy’s ensemble strength, strong reviews, and recent Astra TV Awards recognition for Cardellini have consolidated trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of final voting that closes August 26. Youn Yuh-jung’s 9.8% share reflects “Beef” Season 2’s 16 nominations and her first Emmy nod, while the remaining contenders—Constance Zimmer, Dakota Fanning, Laurie Metcalf, and Joy Sunday—trail amid thinner overall buzz for their respective projects. The September 14 ceremony will test whether the current market-implied odds hold through late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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